Showing posts with label auction. Show all posts
Showing posts with label auction. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

A Lenders Response to the Bailout Rescue Plan

The Chinese have a proverb: "May you live in interesting times." And we are living through interesting times indeed.

Whatever the political posturing regarding the rescue plan, a plan needed to be passed. Credit markets are frozen and banks are going bust every day. This is not totally because of "toxic" mortgages. This has a lot to do with FASB 157, also known as "mark to market".

Each day, lenders must mark their assets to the marketplace. It's like you having to appraise your home everyday and, if your neighbor was under duress because she got very ill, divorced, lost her job and was forced to sell her home quickly, she may have sold it super cheap. Now, does that mean your house is worth that super cheap price, too? Clearly not. Why? Because you are not under duress. You have the time to sell your home and get a more normal price, which more accurately reflects true market conditions. But "mark to market" does not allow for this, which creates a vicious cycle.

Why is this so bad? Because, as lenders mark down their assets the amount that they have previously loaned becomes much riskier in relation to their assets. For example, say a bank has $1 million in assets and say they have $15 million in loans outstanding. Their ratio is an acceptable 15 to 1. But should they take a paper write down of $500 thousand due to "mark to market" requirements, their ratio suddenly changes to 30 to 1. This is because their assets are now only $500 thousand after taking the paper loss, while their loans outstanding are still $15 million. And at 30 to 1 this bank is viewed as a risky investment. So the stock price starts to get hit, it becomes harder to borrow, and most importantly harder to make money. The bank is then forced to sell some of its loans to reduce its ratio...at cheap prices.

And this makes the vicious cycle continue. And a quick look at the holdings of these loans show that 95% are problem free. Additionally, the Credit Default Swaps (CDS) that are used with the pools of mortgages are relatively safe. But this requires a bit of understanding. You see, when a pool of mortgage loans is put together it isn't just A paper or B paper etc. it's everything. It's got some A paper, B paper, C paper...and even what looks like toilet paper. An "A" investor buys the whole pool but because they are an "A" investor their safety is greater because they can avoid the first 20% (an example) of defaults. So they own the whole pool but are sheltered from the first batch of defaults, and for this they get the lowest rate of return. As you can figure from here the more risk investors want to take, the higher the return. So the investments are relatively safe, but the accounting rules currently place undue pressure on the banking institutions.

Now add to all this, the opportunistic "shorting" done on the financial stocks, much of it illegal because those shorts did not legitimately borrow shares (called naked shorting), and you exacerbate this whole problem. Thank goodness for the recent temporary ban on shorting in the financial sector. As for the plan, the government is the only one who can step in to do this. And they have to do this. And they will do this. The nauseating political posturing from both sides is just part of the process.

This is not easy to understand for the general public. In fact most politicians don't get this either. That's why it is a difficult yet critical bill for them to vote on.

Once this is done, it will take some time but the markets will stabilize. As for the real estate and mortgage industries, it will take a bit of time but we will make it through this. Rates will remain attractive and the influx of credit availability will help the housing market gradually improve. This ultimately will be the medicine needed to improve the situation overall.

As always – please keep in touch during these volatile times. I am here to help you and your clients in any way that I can.



Sincerely,
Leonard Winslow
Gateway Bank Mortgage
434-220-3409
leonardwinslow@gwfh.com

A Lenders Response to the Bailout Rescue Plan

The Chinese have a proverb: "May you live in interesting times." And we are living through interesting times indeed.

Whatever the political posturing regarding the rescue plan, a plan needed to be passed. Credit markets are frozen and banks are going bust every day. This is not totally because of "toxic" mortgages. This has a lot to do with FASB 157, also known as "mark to market".

Each day, lenders must mark their assets to the marketplace. It's like you having to appraise your home everyday and, if your neighbor was under duress because she got very ill, divorced, lost her job and was forced to sell her home quickly, she may have sold it super cheap. Now, does that mean your house is worth that super cheap price, too? Clearly not. Why? Because you are not under duress. You have the time to sell your home and get a more normal price, which more accurately reflects true market conditions. But "mark to market" does not allow for this, which creates a vicious cycle.

Why is this so bad? Because, as lenders mark down their assets the amount that they have previously loaned becomes much riskier in relation to their assets. For example, say a bank has $1 million in assets and say they have $15 million in loans outstanding. Their ratio is an acceptable 15 to 1. But should they take a paper write down of $500 thousand due to "mark to market" requirements, their ratio suddenly changes to 30 to 1. This is because their assets are now only $500 thousand after taking the paper loss, while their loans outstanding are still $15 million. And at 30 to 1 this bank is viewed as a risky investment. So the stock price starts to get hit, it becomes harder to borrow, and most importantly harder to make money. The bank is then forced to sell some of its loans to reduce its ratio...at cheap prices.

And this makes the vicious cycle continue. And a quick look at the holdings of these loans show that 95% are problem free. Additionally, the Credit Default Swaps (CDS) that are used with the pools of mortgages are relatively safe. But this requires a bit of understanding. You see, when a pool of mortgage loans is put together it isn't just A paper or B paper etc. it's everything. It's got some A paper, B paper, C paper...and even what looks like toilet paper. An "A" investor buys the whole pool but because they are an "A" investor their safety is greater because they can avoid the first 20% (an example) of defaults. So they own the whole pool but are sheltered from the first batch of defaults, and for this they get the lowest rate of return. As you can figure from here the more risk investors want to take, the higher the return. So the investments are relatively safe, but the accounting rules currently place undue pressure on the banking institutions.

Now add to all this, the opportunistic "shorting" done on the financial stocks, much of it illegal because those shorts did not legitimately borrow shares (called naked shorting), and you exacerbate this whole problem. Thank goodness for the recent temporary ban on shorting in the financial sector. As for the plan, the government is the only one who can step in to do this. And they have to do this. And they will do this. The nauseating political posturing from both sides is just part of the process.

This is not easy to understand for the general public. In fact most politicians don't get this either. That's why it is a difficult yet critical bill for them to vote on.

Once this is done, it will take some time but the markets will stabilize. As for the real estate and mortgage industries, it will take a bit of time but we will make it through this. Rates will remain attractive and the influx of credit availability will help the housing market gradually improve. This ultimately will be the medicine needed to improve the situation overall.

As always – please keep in touch during these volatile times. I am here to help you and your clients in any way that I can.



Sincerely,
Leonard Winslow
Gateway Bank Mortgage
434-220-3409
leonardwinslow@gwfh.com

Tuesday, September 30, 2008

To finance or not to finance....

Tuesday's bond market has well in negative territory following a stock rebound that has shifted funds back away from bonds. The stock markets are rebounding after yesterday's walloping with the Dow up 260 points and the Nasdaq up 30 points. This means that the major stock indexes have recovered approximately one-third of yesterday's losses. The bond market benefited form yesterday's stock sell-off but is suffering today as investors move funds back into stocks. The result is the bond market down 13/32 that will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .250 of a discount point.

Today's only economic news was September's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI). It showed a reading of 59.8 that was much higher than forecasts had called for. Analysts were expecting to see a reading of 55.0, meaning that consumers had more confidence in their own financial situation than was expected. This is considered bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because it indicates that consumers are more willing to make large purchases in the near future.

Tomorrow only relevant data is the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing index for September. This index gives us an indication of manufacturer sentiment. Analysts are expecting to see a 0.4 decline from last month's 49.9 reading. The 50.0 benchmark is extremely important because a reading below that level means more surveyed executives felt business worsened than those who said it had improved. This data is important not only because it measures manufacturer sentiment, but it is very recent data. Some economic releases track data that are 30-60 days old, but the ISM index is only a few weeks old. If we get a smaller than expected reading, I expect to see the bond market rally and mortgage rates fall tomorrow morning.

We need to keep an eye on the stock markets and Fed bailout attempt. I don't think we will see much come today as the markets take a breather, but we probably will see more volatility in stocks before the end of the week. This could affect bond prices and mortgage rates. Generally speaking, look for stock weakness to lead to bond gains and lower mortgage rates as investors move funds into the safety of bonds. If the stock markets continue to move higher, we should see bonds suffer and mortgage rates move higher.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

To finance or not to finance....

Tuesday's bond market has well in negative territory following a stock rebound that has shifted funds back away from bonds. The stock markets are rebounding after yesterday's walloping with the Dow up 260 points and the Nasdaq up 30 points. This means that the major stock indexes have recovered approximately one-third of yesterday's losses. The bond market benefited form yesterday's stock sell-off but is suffering today as investors move funds back into stocks. The result is the bond market down 13/32 that will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .250 of a discount point.

Today's only economic news was September's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI). It showed a reading of 59.8 that was much higher than forecasts had called for. Analysts were expecting to see a reading of 55.0, meaning that consumers had more confidence in their own financial situation than was expected. This is considered bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because it indicates that consumers are more willing to make large purchases in the near future.

Tomorrow only relevant data is the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing index for September. This index gives us an indication of manufacturer sentiment. Analysts are expecting to see a 0.4 decline from last month's 49.9 reading. The 50.0 benchmark is extremely important because a reading below that level means more surveyed executives felt business worsened than those who said it had improved. This data is important not only because it measures manufacturer sentiment, but it is very recent data. Some economic releases track data that are 30-60 days old, but the ISM index is only a few weeks old. If we get a smaller than expected reading, I expect to see the bond market rally and mortgage rates fall tomorrow morning.

We need to keep an eye on the stock markets and Fed bailout attempt. I don't think we will see much come today as the markets take a breather, but we probably will see more volatility in stocks before the end of the week. This could affect bond prices and mortgage rates. Generally speaking, look for stock weakness to lead to bond gains and lower mortgage rates as investors move funds into the safety of bonds. If the stock markets continue to move higher, we should see bonds suffer and mortgage rates move higher.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Credit Scoring Part III: Dealing with Challenges

Part III: Dealing with Challenges

Typically, a person with a low credit score is in this position because they lack structure in his or her life. There are, of course, cases where unplanned health or employment complications are to blame, but for the most part, these are individuals who lack the discipline to pay their bills on time or curb their spending.
Let's take a look at some examples that can help to quickly improve less-than-perfect credit scores for the potential homebuyer:

Let's say we have a borrower with a credit score of 664. She has a concentration of credit card debt on one card; let's say $17,000 on a card with a $20,000 limit. At the same time, she has four or five additional credit cards, all with a zero balance. I would advise the borrower to distribute the debt over a number of her cards. Remember, a borrower's credit to debt ratio represents 30% of his or her overall score. By simply changing the ratio of available credit to debt, the borrower in this example could possibly increase her credit score to something closer to 700, saving thousands of dollars on her mortgage.

Another thing to take into consideration in a case like this is what percentage each of the five factors measure in the resulting credit score. Let's say we have a borrower with a "credit high" (the maximum debt allowance on all cards, combined) of $20,000. He has one card that is used for business purposes that is pushing the limit. I would advise the client to get two new cards and, once again, spread the debt out over all of his cards, leaving at least 30% available credit on each card. This will positively affect his overall score, based on the five elements of the FICO scoring model.

Conversely, the borrower should be advised not to close any existing credit card accounts, even if they are at a zero balance. Some people think they are doing themselves a favor by having fewer cards, but they lose out on the credit history factor. Even if the borrower does not have a good rate on an old credit card, they are rewarded for having the long-term credit history, and from time to time they should make a small purchase to keep the account in an active status.
These are just a few examples of what borrowers can do to improve their credit scores when they consider buying a home. If you are disappointed by the fact that you cannot get the most desirable loan up front, monitor your payment history and in time your school will rise so that you can purchase a home or refinance at a more favorable rate.

Stay tuned for Credit Scoring, Part IV: Credit Remediation

written by Leonard Winslow, a Mortgage Loan Officer, of Gateway Bank Mortgage, INC. for The Avery Group Real Estate Blog

Credit Scoring Part III: Dealing with Challenges

Part III: Dealing with Challenges

Typically, a person with a low credit score is in this position because they lack structure in his or her life. There are, of course, cases where unplanned health or employment complications are to blame, but for the most part, these are individuals who lack the discipline to pay their bills on time or curb their spending.
Let's take a look at some examples that can help to quickly improve less-than-perfect credit scores for the potential homebuyer:

Let's say we have a borrower with a credit score of 664. She has a concentration of credit card debt on one card; let's say $17,000 on a card with a $20,000 limit. At the same time, she has four or five additional credit cards, all with a zero balance. I would advise the borrower to distribute the debt over a number of her cards. Remember, a borrower's credit to debt ratio represents 30% of his or her overall score. By simply changing the ratio of available credit to debt, the borrower in this example could possibly increase her credit score to something closer to 700, saving thousands of dollars on her mortgage.

Another thing to take into consideration in a case like this is what percentage each of the five factors measure in the resulting credit score. Let's say we have a borrower with a "credit high" (the maximum debt allowance on all cards, combined) of $20,000. He has one card that is used for business purposes that is pushing the limit. I would advise the client to get two new cards and, once again, spread the debt out over all of his cards, leaving at least 30% available credit on each card. This will positively affect his overall score, based on the five elements of the FICO scoring model.

Conversely, the borrower should be advised not to close any existing credit card accounts, even if they are at a zero balance. Some people think they are doing themselves a favor by having fewer cards, but they lose out on the credit history factor. Even if the borrower does not have a good rate on an old credit card, they are rewarded for having the long-term credit history, and from time to time they should make a small purchase to keep the account in an active status.
These are just a few examples of what borrowers can do to improve their credit scores when they consider buying a home. If you are disappointed by the fact that you cannot get the most desirable loan up front, monitor your payment history and in time your school will rise so that you can purchase a home or refinance at a more favorable rate.

Stay tuned for Credit Scoring, Part IV: Credit Remediation

written by Leonard Winslow, a Mortgage Loan Officer, of Gateway Bank Mortgage, INC. for The Avery Group Real Estate Blog

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Short Sale in Charlottesville

Not too long ago, we took a listing for a woman, for confidentiality we will call her "A". She had a home in the city of Charlottesville and was falling behind on her payments. We took her listing and proceeded with a short sale. Come to find out, her loan was for $90,000 more than the market value of the home. There is no way this house every got an appraisal for that much over what the home was worth, especially since it didn't have a HEAT SOURCE!!! By the way, homes without a heat source should never approve for a mortgage, especially a mortgage with a value greater than the market value. Anyway, we were able to sell her house, prevent foreclosure, save her credit AND get a great deal to an investor.
What's the point you ask? Well, there are a couple. One - there are options out there for people looking to prevent foreclosure. Two - in my opinion, any time you help people you are doing a service for the community. In this case, we helped one lady save her ability to follow the American Dream and borrow money when needed. We also got an investor, whose plans for the house will be great for the neighborhood as a whole, the right price to move in.

Short Sale in Charlottesville

Not too long ago, we took a listing for a woman, for confidentiality we will call her "A". She had a home in the city of Charlottesville and was falling behind on her payments. We took her listing and proceeded with a short sale. Come to find out, her loan was for $90,000 more than the market value of the home. There is no way this house every got an appraisal for that much over what the home was worth, especially since it didn't have a HEAT SOURCE!!! By the way, homes without a heat source should never approve for a mortgage, especially a mortgage with a value greater than the market value. Anyway, we were able to sell her house, prevent foreclosure, save her credit AND get a great deal to an investor.
What's the point you ask? Well, there are a couple. One - there are options out there for people looking to prevent foreclosure. Two - in my opinion, any time you help people you are doing a service for the community. In this case, we helped one lady save her ability to follow the American Dream and borrow money when needed. We also got an investor, whose plans for the house will be great for the neighborhood as a whole, the right price to move in.

Short Sales Becoming Common in Charlottesville

Myself and my group (the Avery Group) have been working short sales for a while now. We have successfully closed 5 short sales this year, have two more under contract, and have three more being listed. Most of them have been in Albemarle County. Despite what people think, or because they can only find 8 or 9 of them in the MLS, foreclosures and short sales are becoming more and more prevalent in our area. Even the Daily Progress has had a couple of articles about them in the newspaper. A short sale is a method of preventing foreclosure. With the exception of loan modification, it is usually the best option. 95% of the time you see a short sale, there is a foreclosure looming. Don't be fooled by terminology. Also, look for key terms in the MLS. For example, "subject to bank approval" is usually a good one to look for if you are looking for a possible foreclosure or short sale.

Short Sales Becoming Common in Charlottesville

Myself and my group (the Avery Group) have been working short sales for a while now. We have successfully closed 5 short sales this year, have two more under contract, and have three more being listed. Most of them have been in Albemarle County. Despite what people think, or because they can only find 8 or 9 of them in the MLS, foreclosures and short sales are becoming more and more prevalent in our area. Even the Daily Progress has had a couple of articles about them in the newspaper. A short sale is a method of preventing foreclosure. With the exception of loan modification, it is usually the best option. 95% of the time you see a short sale, there is a foreclosure looming. Don't be fooled by terminology. Also, look for key terms in the MLS. For example, "subject to bank approval" is usually a good one to look for if you are looking for a possible foreclosure or short sale.

Thursday, April 3, 2008

Charlottesville Real Estate Market Update - March 2008

Let's take a look at the Charlottesville Real Estate Market for March:

Number of Homes Listed for Sale: 3642

Number of Homes Sold in March: 195

Months of Inventory: 18.90 (down from 20 at the beginning of the year)

Average Sold Price in March: $322,206

Average List Price in March: $338,517

Average Days on Market: 130

Percentage of Selling Price to List Price: 95.18%

Total of Sold Properties in March: $66,830,132

Conclusions:
With over $66 million dollars in Real Estate sold last month, people are buying. This is a good trend compared to the start of this year, with total monthly sold properties in the $50 million range. This shows more people are getting involved in the Charlottesville Real Estate Market. This probably has a lot to do with Match Day at UVA and the NGIC expanding. A couple things to note here as well, the Months of Inventory went down as well, so the Charlottesville Real Estate Market is leveling out just nicely. Most sellers are ratifying offers within 5% of their asking price, so keep that in mind if you are currently selling a home or thinking about selling a home.

Charlottesville Real Estate Market Update - March 2008

Let's take a look at the Charlottesville Real Estate Market for March:

Number of Homes Listed for Sale: 3642

Number of Homes Sold in March: 195

Months of Inventory: 18.90 (down from 20 at the beginning of the year)

Average Sold Price in March: $322,206

Average List Price in March: $338,517

Average Days on Market: 130

Percentage of Selling Price to List Price: 95.18%

Total of Sold Properties in March: $66,830,132

Conclusions:
With over $66 million dollars in Real Estate sold last month, people are buying. This is a good trend compared to the start of this year, with total monthly sold properties in the $50 million range. This shows more people are getting involved in the Charlottesville Real Estate Market. This probably has a lot to do with Match Day at UVA and the NGIC expanding. A couple things to note here as well, the Months of Inventory went down as well, so the Charlottesville Real Estate Market is leveling out just nicely. Most sellers are ratifying offers within 5% of their asking price, so keep that in mind if you are currently selling a home or thinking about selling a home.

Tuesday, April 1, 2008

Foreclosure Lesson #7 - Types of Foreclosures

There are many types of foreclosures, so we will start by defining foreclosure. A foreclosure is a legal process in which a lender sells or seizes a person's property to recoup and repay the debt attached to that parcel. When this happens, there are a few crucial steps.

First, the lending institution notifies the owner in writing that they are in default of payment. This is known as the Notice of Default (NOD). After 3 consecutive payments are missed, the lender will bring in an attorney and the attorney will send a letter. If no payments are made, the lender may request to have the property sold at auction.

The first type of Foreclosure is a Judicial Foreclosure. This is when the lender brings a lawsuit against the borrower. It starts with a summons and complaint served upon the borrower. If the borrower doesn't respond or pay the fees, the lender gets a judgement by default. The lender must advertise a notice of sale in the newspaper for a certain period of time, then the public sale is conducted and the property goes to the highest bidder.

The second type of Foreclosure is a Nonjudicial Foreclosure, also known as a power of sale. This is when the borrower gives a deed of trust to a trustee to hold for the lender. Upon default, the lender simply files a notice of default and a notice of sale, which is published in the newspaper. It then gets sold to the highest bidder.

The third type of foreclosure is a Strict Foreclosure. In this scenario, there is no sale required.
The borrower has a certain amount of time to pay what is owed. After that date, the title reverts to the lender.

Check with your state to find out which foreclosures are practiced. Virginia only does Judicial and Nonjudicial Foreclosures. Its about a 45 day process, and the lender is only required to advertise the sale for 14-28 days. Of course, there are a multitude of ways to find foreclosures, not just the newspaper. Depending on the interest I get from these articles, I might get into that as well. Good Luck!

Charlottesville Real Estate

Foreclosure Lesson #7 - Types of Foreclosures

There are many types of foreclosures, so we will start by defining foreclosure. A foreclosure is a legal process in which a lender sells or seizes a person's property to recoup and repay the debt attached to that parcel. When this happens, there are a few crucial steps.

First, the lending institution notifies the owner in writing that they are in default of payment. This is known as the Notice of Default (NOD). After 3 consecutive payments are missed, the lender will bring in an attorney and the attorney will send a letter. If no payments are made, the lender may request to have the property sold at auction.

The first type of Foreclosure is a Judicial Foreclosure. This is when the lender brings a lawsuit against the borrower. It starts with a summons and complaint served upon the borrower. If the borrower doesn't respond or pay the fees, the lender gets a judgement by default. The lender must advertise a notice of sale in the newspaper for a certain period of time, then the public sale is conducted and the property goes to the highest bidder.

The second type of Foreclosure is a Nonjudicial Foreclosure, also known as a power of sale. This is when the borrower gives a deed of trust to a trustee to hold for the lender. Upon default, the lender simply files a notice of default and a notice of sale, which is published in the newspaper. It then gets sold to the highest bidder.

The third type of foreclosure is a Strict Foreclosure. In this scenario, there is no sale required.
The borrower has a certain amount of time to pay what is owed. After that date, the title reverts to the lender.

Check with your state to find out which foreclosures are practiced. Virginia only does Judicial and Nonjudicial Foreclosures. Its about a 45 day process, and the lender is only required to advertise the sale for 14-28 days. Of course, there are a multitude of ways to find foreclosures, not just the newspaper. Depending on the interest I get from these articles, I might get into that as well. Good Luck!

Charlottesville Real Estate

Foreclosure Lesson #6 - Local Factors that Affect Foreclosures and Real Estate

Aside from National Factors that affect Real Estate and the Foreclosure Market, there are also Local Factors that affect our market. Again, there are five factors.

The first Local Factor that affect your Real Estate Market and the money you can make is Migration and Job Growth. If the area has an increase in jobs and people come to the area, Real Estate prices go up. The reverse happens if the area loses jobs and people leave. This is one of the reasons that Charlottesville is doing so well in a market that is bleak right now. The area keeps expanding in jobs with the University of Virginia to the NGIC expansion. Like anything else you want to track the results. Right now, Virginia's population is increasing by 6%, while the Charlottesville population is increasing by 25%. These things affect the "demand" side of the Supply and Demand Curve of Real Estate.

The second local factor that affects Real Estate are Development Plans. Is there new construction panned for the area? Shopping malls, restaruants, offices, etc? Get to know someone at the Planning Commission and attend the meetings. Find out the answers to these questions, they have a lot to do with where the market is going to go.

The third local factor that affects Real Estate is New Construction. New construction of any type means that the area has positive future potential. New Construction affects the supply side of the Supply and Demand Curve in Real Estate. Property owners will have a hard time increasing prices if new construction is selling for much less. Check with local building departments to find out home many new permits are filed each month. Then compare them to last year and the year before.

The fourth local factor that affects Real Estate is Supply and Demand. Supply and demand create the local business cycle. During an up cycle, the demand is greater than the supply, driving prices upwards. During a down cycle, the supply is greater than the demand, driving prices downwards. Again, track results. Keep track of the area's monthly home sales. That's sales, the number of homes that actually sold. Then compare homes bought in the current month to previous months to see buyer demand and use the MLS (Multiple Listing Service) to figure out the current supply. Understand that Real Estate can be seasonal. For example, more homes are sold during the summer than the winter. Currently in Charlottesville, the supply outweighs the demand.

The last local factor that affects Real Estate is Neighborhood Trends. If you are looking at buying a foreclosure or an investment property, drive around the neighborhood at different times of the day. Are there a lot of broken down cars? Are the yards maintained? Is it a few homes or the entire neighborhood that needs work? Are some houses being fixed up? What are the local employment statistics? Has the population grown? What is the median income? And so on. Use a combination of objective data and instinct.

Keep in mind that a single Local Factor can outweigh multiple national factors. Know your area throughly and invest where you live. If you don't know the streets, you don't know the area. Do your research up front and have your ducks in a row. All these will help minimize the risk of investing.

Here is a list of people you might need during the process of buying a foreclosure or investing"

Mortgage Broker

Real Estate Agent

Attorney

General Contractor

I can make suggestions on any of these if you need them. Just let me know.

Charlottesville Real Estate

Foreclosure Lesson #6 - Local Factors that Affect Foreclosures and Real Estate

Aside from National Factors that affect Real Estate and the Foreclosure Market, there are also Local Factors that affect our market. Again, there are five factors.

The first Local Factor that affect your Real Estate Market and the money you can make is Migration and Job Growth. If the area has an increase in jobs and people come to the area, Real Estate prices go up. The reverse happens if the area loses jobs and people leave. This is one of the reasons that Charlottesville is doing so well in a market that is bleak right now. The area keeps expanding in jobs with the University of Virginia to the NGIC expansion. Like anything else you want to track the results. Right now, Virginia's population is increasing by 6%, while the Charlottesville population is increasing by 25%. These things affect the "demand" side of the Supply and Demand Curve of Real Estate.

The second local factor that affects Real Estate are Development Plans. Is there new construction panned for the area? Shopping malls, restaruants, offices, etc? Get to know someone at the Planning Commission and attend the meetings. Find out the answers to these questions, they have a lot to do with where the market is going to go.

The third local factor that affects Real Estate is New Construction. New construction of any type means that the area has positive future potential. New Construction affects the supply side of the Supply and Demand Curve in Real Estate. Property owners will have a hard time increasing prices if new construction is selling for much less. Check with local building departments to find out home many new permits are filed each month. Then compare them to last year and the year before.

The fourth local factor that affects Real Estate is Supply and Demand. Supply and demand create the local business cycle. During an up cycle, the demand is greater than the supply, driving prices upwards. During a down cycle, the supply is greater than the demand, driving prices downwards. Again, track results. Keep track of the area's monthly home sales. That's sales, the number of homes that actually sold. Then compare homes bought in the current month to previous months to see buyer demand and use the MLS (Multiple Listing Service) to figure out the current supply. Understand that Real Estate can be seasonal. For example, more homes are sold during the summer than the winter. Currently in Charlottesville, the supply outweighs the demand.

The last local factor that affects Real Estate is Neighborhood Trends. If you are looking at buying a foreclosure or an investment property, drive around the neighborhood at different times of the day. Are there a lot of broken down cars? Are the yards maintained? Is it a few homes or the entire neighborhood that needs work? Are some houses being fixed up? What are the local employment statistics? Has the population grown? What is the median income? And so on. Use a combination of objective data and instinct.

Keep in mind that a single Local Factor can outweigh multiple national factors. Know your area throughly and invest where you live. If you don't know the streets, you don't know the area. Do your research up front and have your ducks in a row. All these will help minimize the risk of investing.

Here is a list of people you might need during the process of buying a foreclosure or investing"

Mortgage Broker

Real Estate Agent

Attorney

General Contractor

I can make suggestions on any of these if you need them. Just let me know.

Charlottesville Real Estate

Overview of the National Factors that Affect Forclosures and Real Estate

The National Factors that Affect Foreclosures and Real Estate

There are five national factors. They are:

1. Interest Rates

2. Inflation

3. Flow of Investment Funds

4. The Business Cycle

5. Cataclysmic Events

You can access the information on any of the National Factors by clicking on them above.

Overview of the National Factors that Affect Forclosures and Real Estate

The National Factors that Affect Foreclosures and Real Estate

There are five national factors. They are:

1. Interest Rates

2. Inflation

3. Flow of Investment Funds

4. The Business Cycle

5. Cataclysmic Events

You can access the information on any of the National Factors by clicking on them above.

Foreclosure Lesson #5 - National Factors - Cataclysmic Events

This is the last installment describing the National Factors affecting foreclosures and the Real Estate Market. We have now discussed interest rates, inflation, flow of investment funds, and the business cycle. We are now down to the last National Factor affecting Real Estate. This factor is the easiest to comprehend, yet the most emotional. It is cataclysmic events.

A cataclysmic event is something like Hurricane Katrina. It is a naturally occurring event that devastates an area. During cataclysmic events, building prices are likely to go up, resulting in higher real estate prices.

Luckily, we don't have to deal with events like this every often, but it is something to be aware of as you are buying and selling homes in different areas.

Charlottesville Real Estate

Foreclosure Lesson #5 - National Factors - Cataclysmic Events

This is the last installment describing the National Factors affecting foreclosures and the Real Estate Market. We have now discussed interest rates, inflation, flow of investment funds, and the business cycle. We are now down to the last National Factor affecting Real Estate. This factor is the easiest to comprehend, yet the most emotional. It is cataclysmic events.

A cataclysmic event is something like Hurricane Katrina. It is a naturally occurring event that devastates an area. During cataclysmic events, building prices are likely to go up, resulting in higher real estate prices.

Luckily, we don't have to deal with events like this every often, but it is something to be aware of as you are buying and selling homes in different areas.

Charlottesville Real Estate

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