Tuesday, April 22, 2008

The Real Estate Mexican Standoff

Here is a quote from the First Quarter Market Report written by Dave Phillips CEO of the Charlottesville Association of Realtors.

"Simply put, there are too many homes on the market right now. This surplus of inventory should keep prices low as sellers are forced to offer “good deals” in a very competitive marketplace. There is a direct, inverse relationship between inventory and prices. The more homes we have on the market, the more pressure there is on sellers to keep prices down. For this reason, we do not expect home prices in the area to increase in the near future.

Currently, we have 3,673 homes on the market, compared to 3,100 at this time last year. The median price of these homes for sale is $319,000. The average DOM (days on market) of these homes is 147 days. It is a great time for first-time buyers, because there are 663 homes for sale under $200,000 with an average DOM of 130. There are 576 homes currently on the market priced at a million dollars or more, with an average DOM of 200."
This is a very accurate statement about the status of our market. It's almost as if buyers and sellers are in an old fashioned Mexican Standoff. Buyers continue to wait for prices to come down, while sellers are resisting the trend. I do have to take this opportunity to say THIS IS A GOOD TIME TO BUY REAL ESTATE.

Play the game, there are a number of people out there trying to move their money out of Real Estate and just want anything they can get. Make an offer, if they reject, move to the next one. In the words of NIKE, Just Do It. You can find really good deals in a market such as this.

Read the entire 1st Quarter Market Report

The Real Estate Mexican Standoff

Here is a quote from the First Quarter Market Report written by Dave Phillips CEO of the Charlottesville Association of Realtors.

"Simply put, there are too many homes on the market right now. This surplus of inventory should keep prices low as sellers are forced to offer “good deals” in a very competitive marketplace. There is a direct, inverse relationship between inventory and prices. The more homes we have on the market, the more pressure there is on sellers to keep prices down. For this reason, we do not expect home prices in the area to increase in the near future.

Currently, we have 3,673 homes on the market, compared to 3,100 at this time last year. The median price of these homes for sale is $319,000. The average DOM (days on market) of these homes is 147 days. It is a great time for first-time buyers, because there are 663 homes for sale under $200,000 with an average DOM of 130. There are 576 homes currently on the market priced at a million dollars or more, with an average DOM of 200."
This is a very accurate statement about the status of our market. It's almost as if buyers and sellers are in an old fashioned Mexican Standoff. Buyers continue to wait for prices to come down, while sellers are resisting the trend. I do have to take this opportunity to say THIS IS A GOOD TIME TO BUY REAL ESTATE.

Play the game, there are a number of people out there trying to move their money out of Real Estate and just want anything they can get. Make an offer, if they reject, move to the next one. In the words of NIKE, Just Do It. You can find really good deals in a market such as this.

Read the entire 1st Quarter Market Report

Thursday, April 3, 2008

Charlottesville Real Estate Market Update - March 2008

Let's take a look at the Charlottesville Real Estate Market for March:

Number of Homes Listed for Sale: 3642

Number of Homes Sold in March: 195

Months of Inventory: 18.90 (down from 20 at the beginning of the year)

Average Sold Price in March: $322,206

Average List Price in March: $338,517

Average Days on Market: 130

Percentage of Selling Price to List Price: 95.18%

Total of Sold Properties in March: $66,830,132

Conclusions:
With over $66 million dollars in Real Estate sold last month, people are buying. This is a good trend compared to the start of this year, with total monthly sold properties in the $50 million range. This shows more people are getting involved in the Charlottesville Real Estate Market. This probably has a lot to do with Match Day at UVA and the NGIC expanding. A couple things to note here as well, the Months of Inventory went down as well, so the Charlottesville Real Estate Market is leveling out just nicely. Most sellers are ratifying offers within 5% of their asking price, so keep that in mind if you are currently selling a home or thinking about selling a home.

Charlottesville Real Estate Market Update - March 2008

Let's take a look at the Charlottesville Real Estate Market for March:

Number of Homes Listed for Sale: 3642

Number of Homes Sold in March: 195

Months of Inventory: 18.90 (down from 20 at the beginning of the year)

Average Sold Price in March: $322,206

Average List Price in March: $338,517

Average Days on Market: 130

Percentage of Selling Price to List Price: 95.18%

Total of Sold Properties in March: $66,830,132

Conclusions:
With over $66 million dollars in Real Estate sold last month, people are buying. This is a good trend compared to the start of this year, with total monthly sold properties in the $50 million range. This shows more people are getting involved in the Charlottesville Real Estate Market. This probably has a lot to do with Match Day at UVA and the NGIC expanding. A couple things to note here as well, the Months of Inventory went down as well, so the Charlottesville Real Estate Market is leveling out just nicely. Most sellers are ratifying offers within 5% of their asking price, so keep that in mind if you are currently selling a home or thinking about selling a home.

Tuesday, April 1, 2008

Foreclosure Lesson #7 - Types of Foreclosures

There are many types of foreclosures, so we will start by defining foreclosure. A foreclosure is a legal process in which a lender sells or seizes a person's property to recoup and repay the debt attached to that parcel. When this happens, there are a few crucial steps.

First, the lending institution notifies the owner in writing that they are in default of payment. This is known as the Notice of Default (NOD). After 3 consecutive payments are missed, the lender will bring in an attorney and the attorney will send a letter. If no payments are made, the lender may request to have the property sold at auction.

The first type of Foreclosure is a Judicial Foreclosure. This is when the lender brings a lawsuit against the borrower. It starts with a summons and complaint served upon the borrower. If the borrower doesn't respond or pay the fees, the lender gets a judgement by default. The lender must advertise a notice of sale in the newspaper for a certain period of time, then the public sale is conducted and the property goes to the highest bidder.

The second type of Foreclosure is a Nonjudicial Foreclosure, also known as a power of sale. This is when the borrower gives a deed of trust to a trustee to hold for the lender. Upon default, the lender simply files a notice of default and a notice of sale, which is published in the newspaper. It then gets sold to the highest bidder.

The third type of foreclosure is a Strict Foreclosure. In this scenario, there is no sale required.
The borrower has a certain amount of time to pay what is owed. After that date, the title reverts to the lender.

Check with your state to find out which foreclosures are practiced. Virginia only does Judicial and Nonjudicial Foreclosures. Its about a 45 day process, and the lender is only required to advertise the sale for 14-28 days. Of course, there are a multitude of ways to find foreclosures, not just the newspaper. Depending on the interest I get from these articles, I might get into that as well. Good Luck!

Charlottesville Real Estate

Foreclosure Lesson #7 - Types of Foreclosures

There are many types of foreclosures, so we will start by defining foreclosure. A foreclosure is a legal process in which a lender sells or seizes a person's property to recoup and repay the debt attached to that parcel. When this happens, there are a few crucial steps.

First, the lending institution notifies the owner in writing that they are in default of payment. This is known as the Notice of Default (NOD). After 3 consecutive payments are missed, the lender will bring in an attorney and the attorney will send a letter. If no payments are made, the lender may request to have the property sold at auction.

The first type of Foreclosure is a Judicial Foreclosure. This is when the lender brings a lawsuit against the borrower. It starts with a summons and complaint served upon the borrower. If the borrower doesn't respond or pay the fees, the lender gets a judgement by default. The lender must advertise a notice of sale in the newspaper for a certain period of time, then the public sale is conducted and the property goes to the highest bidder.

The second type of Foreclosure is a Nonjudicial Foreclosure, also known as a power of sale. This is when the borrower gives a deed of trust to a trustee to hold for the lender. Upon default, the lender simply files a notice of default and a notice of sale, which is published in the newspaper. It then gets sold to the highest bidder.

The third type of foreclosure is a Strict Foreclosure. In this scenario, there is no sale required.
The borrower has a certain amount of time to pay what is owed. After that date, the title reverts to the lender.

Check with your state to find out which foreclosures are practiced. Virginia only does Judicial and Nonjudicial Foreclosures. Its about a 45 day process, and the lender is only required to advertise the sale for 14-28 days. Of course, there are a multitude of ways to find foreclosures, not just the newspaper. Depending on the interest I get from these articles, I might get into that as well. Good Luck!

Charlottesville Real Estate

Foreclosure Lesson #6 - Local Factors that Affect Foreclosures and Real Estate

Aside from National Factors that affect Real Estate and the Foreclosure Market, there are also Local Factors that affect our market. Again, there are five factors.

The first Local Factor that affect your Real Estate Market and the money you can make is Migration and Job Growth. If the area has an increase in jobs and people come to the area, Real Estate prices go up. The reverse happens if the area loses jobs and people leave. This is one of the reasons that Charlottesville is doing so well in a market that is bleak right now. The area keeps expanding in jobs with the University of Virginia to the NGIC expansion. Like anything else you want to track the results. Right now, Virginia's population is increasing by 6%, while the Charlottesville population is increasing by 25%. These things affect the "demand" side of the Supply and Demand Curve of Real Estate.

The second local factor that affects Real Estate are Development Plans. Is there new construction panned for the area? Shopping malls, restaruants, offices, etc? Get to know someone at the Planning Commission and attend the meetings. Find out the answers to these questions, they have a lot to do with where the market is going to go.

The third local factor that affects Real Estate is New Construction. New construction of any type means that the area has positive future potential. New Construction affects the supply side of the Supply and Demand Curve in Real Estate. Property owners will have a hard time increasing prices if new construction is selling for much less. Check with local building departments to find out home many new permits are filed each month. Then compare them to last year and the year before.

The fourth local factor that affects Real Estate is Supply and Demand. Supply and demand create the local business cycle. During an up cycle, the demand is greater than the supply, driving prices upwards. During a down cycle, the supply is greater than the demand, driving prices downwards. Again, track results. Keep track of the area's monthly home sales. That's sales, the number of homes that actually sold. Then compare homes bought in the current month to previous months to see buyer demand and use the MLS (Multiple Listing Service) to figure out the current supply. Understand that Real Estate can be seasonal. For example, more homes are sold during the summer than the winter. Currently in Charlottesville, the supply outweighs the demand.

The last local factor that affects Real Estate is Neighborhood Trends. If you are looking at buying a foreclosure or an investment property, drive around the neighborhood at different times of the day. Are there a lot of broken down cars? Are the yards maintained? Is it a few homes or the entire neighborhood that needs work? Are some houses being fixed up? What are the local employment statistics? Has the population grown? What is the median income? And so on. Use a combination of objective data and instinct.

Keep in mind that a single Local Factor can outweigh multiple national factors. Know your area throughly and invest where you live. If you don't know the streets, you don't know the area. Do your research up front and have your ducks in a row. All these will help minimize the risk of investing.

Here is a list of people you might need during the process of buying a foreclosure or investing"

Mortgage Broker

Real Estate Agent

Attorney

General Contractor

I can make suggestions on any of these if you need them. Just let me know.

Charlottesville Real Estate

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