Thursday, December 27, 2007

What To Do If You Can't Pay Your Mortgage

Almost 280,000 Americans lost their homes through foreclosure last year. But that's not the surprising part. This is: Half of them never even talked to their
lenders.

While the number of homeowners with past-due loans is still low by historical standards at 4.4%, it's expected to rise this year and next because almost 5 million American families will see their adjustable-rate mortgages reset to higher interest rates. Families that are already turning their pockets inside out to pay more than $3 a gallon for gas and higher health care costs may have to make painful choices in order to keep their homes.

Now is the time to dig out your mortgage documents and figure out when, by how much, and how often your payments can rise. If you see trouble ahead, now is the time to consider refinancing, or reaching out to a financial counselor who can help you evaluate your options. Most important, call your lender, right now, if you're about to miss a payment.

Your situation, and that of thousands of other folks like you, is serious. You are, indeed, in dire straits. But all hope is not lost, at least not yet.

You should contact your lenders right away. If you are like most folks, you aren't answering the lenders' mail or returning their phone calls. Most think they don't need to speak with their lenders about their situations, or think they can take care of their problems, if they recognize them as such, without involving the lender.

But a large percentage also believe their lenders can't or won't be any help, or are simply too embarrassed or scared to bring them up. But all these people are wrong -- on all counts.

If you are an irresponsible individual who can but won't make your house payments in a timely manner, lenders have nothing to offer but a ride to the courthouse steps. But if you have been a good paying customer, have a good reason why you fell behind, and look like you'll be able to get back on your feet, lenders can be plenty of help. The key word is forbearance.

Here's the thing: Lenders don't want your house, they want you. According to a report I read recently, the costs of foreclosure are enormous. On average, the total cost, including lost interest during the delinquency, foreclosure costs and disposition of the property, ran nearly $59,000, and the situation took about 18 months to resolve. Worse, these figures were five years old. It is probably more expensive now and takes even longer.

At the same time, keeping people in their homes has been found to be far more productive. Indeed, roughly 90% of the loans that are reworked by lenders are likely to "cure" within 18 months. And those borrowers who seek help from their lenders earlier in the process are far more likely to hang on to their places after
riding out their financial turbulence than those who seek help later.

What's more, research shows that the factors originally used by underwriters in trying to predict the likelihood would-be borrowers will default -- credit, collateral and capital -- are not nearly as useful when deciding whether to "work" with customers who are already on the books but are having a tough time meeting their obligations.

Lenders have several workout options up their sleeves:
· Partial reinstatement. Under this plan, the borrower would agree to begin making regular payments and make up what is owed in, say, 12 monthly installments over the next year.
· Short-term forbearance. Here, the lender will suspend your payments for, say, three months or reduce your payment for six months, and then you'd make up the difference in some kind of repayment plan as described above.
· Long-term forbearance. Payments might be suspended for anywhere from four to 12 months, with a corresponding repay plan to follow.
· Loan modification. This would be a permanent change in one or more of your loan's original terms. The rate might be cut, the payment period extended or both so that the payment once again becomes affordable.

So my advice is to get on the horn right now with your lender. Make sure you talk to the workout department, though, not the collections folks. Though many lenders are training their repo staff to spot people who need a break and hand them off to the right people, most are bill collectors, short and simple. If the person you speak with has no idea what you are talking about, ask to be transferred to the chairman's or the president's office. You can bet they'll know whom to transfer you to.

You don't need anybody to speak for you, either. So stay away from the growing group of charlatans who are preying on financially distressed homeowners by offering -- for a fee, of course -- to act as a go-between between you and your lender. They don't have any more of an inside track than you do.

If you honestly feel you need to have someone holding your hand, contact a local credit or homeownership counseling agency. These nonprofits don't charge a thing. In fact, in some cases, lenders are paying them to go out into their communities to persuade troubled borrowers to contact their lenders.
The Department of Housing and Urban Development has a list of government-sanctioned counselors on its Web site, www.hud.gov. Also try the National Foundation of Credit Counselors, www.nfcc.org, or the Homeownership Preservation Foundation, www.995hope.org (888-995-HOPE).

Even if you and your lender can't see any way to save your home, there are still options available that are less painful than foreclosure -- for both parties. You can list your home with a Realtor. There are plenty of Realtors that are skilled in a short sale, or a quick sale. If selling is too burdensome, you can simply hand over the keys to the lender by voluntarily transferring the title back to it in one of several different ways.

In a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure situation, you would forego continued ownership in exchange for cancellation of the remaining debt. In a short sale, also known as a short payoff or pre-foreclosure sale, the lender would allow you to sell the place at less than what is owed, and you and the lender would agree to an unsecured repayment plan for the difference. Anything is better than doing nothing and ruining your credit. Unless you have a lot of money, credit is the only thing that enables you to chase the American Dream. I learned that a long time ago from my father.

Rob AlleyREALTOR® - Roy Wheeler Realty Co.President - Virginia Tech Alumni Association - Charlottesville ChapterBoy Scouts of America - District Advancement Chairman - Monticello District434-220-7630 (office)http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com/

What To Do If You Can't Pay Your Mortgage

Almost 280,000 Americans lost their homes through foreclosure last year. But that's not the surprising part. This is: Half of them never even talked to their
lenders.

While the number of homeowners with past-due loans is still low by historical standards at 4.4%, it's expected to rise this year and next because almost 5 million American families will see their adjustable-rate mortgages reset to higher interest rates. Families that are already turning their pockets inside out to pay more than $3 a gallon for gas and higher health care costs may have to make painful choices in order to keep their homes.

Now is the time to dig out your mortgage documents and figure out when, by how much, and how often your payments can rise. If you see trouble ahead, now is the time to consider refinancing, or reaching out to a financial counselor who can help you evaluate your options. Most important, call your lender, right now, if you're about to miss a payment.

Your situation, and that of thousands of other folks like you, is serious. You are, indeed, in dire straits. But all hope is not lost, at least not yet.

You should contact your lenders right away. If you are like most folks, you aren't answering the lenders' mail or returning their phone calls. Most think they don't need to speak with their lenders about their situations, or think they can take care of their problems, if they recognize them as such, without involving the lender.

But a large percentage also believe their lenders can't or won't be any help, or are simply too embarrassed or scared to bring them up. But all these people are wrong -- on all counts.

If you are an irresponsible individual who can but won't make your house payments in a timely manner, lenders have nothing to offer but a ride to the courthouse steps. But if you have been a good paying customer, have a good reason why you fell behind, and look like you'll be able to get back on your feet, lenders can be plenty of help. The key word is forbearance.

Here's the thing: Lenders don't want your house, they want you. According to a report I read recently, the costs of foreclosure are enormous. On average, the total cost, including lost interest during the delinquency, foreclosure costs and disposition of the property, ran nearly $59,000, and the situation took about 18 months to resolve. Worse, these figures were five years old. It is probably more expensive now and takes even longer.

At the same time, keeping people in their homes has been found to be far more productive. Indeed, roughly 90% of the loans that are reworked by lenders are likely to "cure" within 18 months. And those borrowers who seek help from their lenders earlier in the process are far more likely to hang on to their places after
riding out their financial turbulence than those who seek help later.

What's more, research shows that the factors originally used by underwriters in trying to predict the likelihood would-be borrowers will default -- credit, collateral and capital -- are not nearly as useful when deciding whether to "work" with customers who are already on the books but are having a tough time meeting their obligations.

Lenders have several workout options up their sleeves:
· Partial reinstatement. Under this plan, the borrower would agree to begin making regular payments and make up what is owed in, say, 12 monthly installments over the next year.
· Short-term forbearance. Here, the lender will suspend your payments for, say, three months or reduce your payment for six months, and then you'd make up the difference in some kind of repayment plan as described above.
· Long-term forbearance. Payments might be suspended for anywhere from four to 12 months, with a corresponding repay plan to follow.
· Loan modification. This would be a permanent change in one or more of your loan's original terms. The rate might be cut, the payment period extended or both so that the payment once again becomes affordable.

So my advice is to get on the horn right now with your lender. Make sure you talk to the workout department, though, not the collections folks. Though many lenders are training their repo staff to spot people who need a break and hand them off to the right people, most are bill collectors, short and simple. If the person you speak with has no idea what you are talking about, ask to be transferred to the chairman's or the president's office. You can bet they'll know whom to transfer you to.

You don't need anybody to speak for you, either. So stay away from the growing group of charlatans who are preying on financially distressed homeowners by offering -- for a fee, of course -- to act as a go-between between you and your lender. They don't have any more of an inside track than you do.

If you honestly feel you need to have someone holding your hand, contact a local credit or homeownership counseling agency. These nonprofits don't charge a thing. In fact, in some cases, lenders are paying them to go out into their communities to persuade troubled borrowers to contact their lenders.
The Department of Housing and Urban Development has a list of government-sanctioned counselors on its Web site, www.hud.gov. Also try the National Foundation of Credit Counselors, www.nfcc.org, or the Homeownership Preservation Foundation, www.995hope.org (888-995-HOPE).

Even if you and your lender can't see any way to save your home, there are still options available that are less painful than foreclosure -- for both parties. You can list your home with a Realtor. There are plenty of Realtors that are skilled in a short sale, or a quick sale. If selling is too burdensome, you can simply hand over the keys to the lender by voluntarily transferring the title back to it in one of several different ways.

In a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure situation, you would forego continued ownership in exchange for cancellation of the remaining debt. In a short sale, also known as a short payoff or pre-foreclosure sale, the lender would allow you to sell the place at less than what is owed, and you and the lender would agree to an unsecured repayment plan for the difference. Anything is better than doing nothing and ruining your credit. Unless you have a lot of money, credit is the only thing that enables you to chase the American Dream. I learned that a long time ago from my father.

Rob AlleyREALTOR® - Roy Wheeler Realty Co.President - Virginia Tech Alumni Association - Charlottesville ChapterBoy Scouts of America - District Advancement Chairman - Monticello District434-220-7630 (office)http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com/

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

The Big Bad Market

Ok, It’s Time to Come Out Now

If you don't have a TV, a radio, or a newspaper, you may have missed all of the negative press surrounding the mortgage and housing markets. The severity of the situation has created a mild panic that has paralyzed the consumer. If you are waiting for a "bottom" to the overall crisis, and for all the news to turn positive, don't hold your breath. Typically, where tragedy occurs, opportunity arises. Let me show you why it is "OK to come out now," and why you might be sorry if you wait too long.

Mortgage Meltdown?

The news might have you thinking that no one can get a loan these days. This is far from true. Hindsight has given us a clear picture of the kind of loans that shouldn't be offered again. The loans that have performed more consistently are still abundantly available, and you might be surprised that you can qualify.

Banks like to see strength in at least 2 of the 4 areas:
Credit Score
Sufficient verifiable income for the payment amount
Equity in the property or down payment
Liquid assets (money in the bank, stock market, IRA's, 401k's, etc...)

The items that will make your loan more difficult to obtain:
Non-Owner Occupied (investment property)
Stated or No Income (meaning you can't prove it with W2's or Tax Returns)

Bottom Line: If you can legitimately afford to make a regular house payment, there's a very high chance that this can be proven to a lender, who will in turn be happy to give you an excellent loan.

To make things better, interest rates are historically low. At the very lowest point in mortgage rate history, a 30 year fixed conforming loan danced around the 5.0% range. In the last several weeks, it has dropped to 5.625%. There is even further impetus to act on this information. Even if prices decline another 10% due to the market panic, there are sellers out there right now selling for 20% under current appraised value. So you might find a house for $160,000 today that will end up being worth $180,000 when the market bottoms out - a paradox, but true. This also means that your value is likely to be at it's highest as far as refinancing. Remember that EQUITY is one of the positive factors banks consider.

If you think you might be in your current home for more than a few years, have an adjustable rate mortgage, or have an interest rate that's over 6% - or - if you are a potential home-buyer, it is OK to come out now. Doing so could save you lots of money.

The Pendulum Effect

National average home prices are down significantly. This trend will continue, but consider three things. First, the hardest-hit markets drag down the average depreciation. Second, mid to high priced homes were more inflated than entry level housing. When those homes depreciate, they have farther to fall than a lower priced home. This also brings down the national home price average. Finally, panic can create a knee-jerk reaction among sellers, and market perception can create hesitancy among buyers.

What does this all mean? It's a GREAT time to shop for a moderately priced home. When the market has found a solid bottom and the demand returns, there will be a lot less ambiguity about what a home in your area is really worth. Sellers will be less willing to entertain offers, and selection will decrease.

Recession and Expansion

There are times when the economy is brisk and everyone feels confident about his or her prospects for the future. As a result, they spend more money, eat out more often, and buy more new cars and houses.

Then, for one reason or another, the economy slows down. Companies lay off employees and consumers are more careful about where they spend money, perhaps saving more than usual. As a result, the economy decelerates even further. If it slows enough, we have a recession. During such a time, fewer people are buying homes. Even so, some homeowners find themselves in a situation where they must sell. Families grow beyond the capacity of the home, employees get relocated, and some may even find themselves unable to make their mortgage payment - perhaps because of a layoff in the family.

In the business cycle of real estate, there are buyers' markets and sellers' markets...and some markets in between. It is all based on supply and/or demand.

Supply and Demand - Inventory

During a seller’s market, homes sell quickly and sellers have a lot of pricing power. As a result, prices rise more rapidly than at other times. During a buyer’s market, homes may sit on the market for a while before selling; consequently, sellers become more flexible and may even drop their prices.
The market is determined by supply and demand.

In real estate, the relationship between supply and demand is calculated as "available inventory." At the current sales pace, how long would it take to sell the total number of houses available on the market? That is how the real estate industry measures inventory.

Inventory is measured in weeks and months. Longer inventory times are associated with buyers' markets. Shorter inventory periods are associated with sellers' markets. Some buyers and sellers hope to time their transactions to take advantage of market cycles.

Timing Your Purchase to the Market Cycle

The real estate market does not necessarily move in tandem with the stock market or the economy as a whole. When the economy is doing well, interest rates are generally higher. The result is that fewer people can afford houses. When the economy slows down, interest rates fall. The "affordability index" moves up and more people can afford houses.

As you can see, this cycle does not move "in sync" with the rest of the economy. One problem with attempting to time your purchase to the business cycle is that even experts have problems accurately predicting the future economy. It is also strongly influenced by employment, salary, and consumer outlook for the future. If you could "time the market," that strategy would most benefit first-time buyers. All these factors make it difficult to know, in advance, whether the housing market is going to boom or bust.

Why You Should Not Wait to Purchase a Home

People who already own a home usually need to sell it in order to come up with the down payment for their next home. Even if they don't, they would have to carry the debt and obligations on two homes at the same time. This can create financial hardship, even when you rent out the previous home. There are maintenance costs, renters don't always make their payments on time, the rent may not cover the mortgage and other costs, and sometimes the property may be vacant.

If you are a move-up buyer and want to purchase your next home during a depressed market, you generally have to sell your current home during that same depressed market. If you want to sell during a boom, then you also have to purchase during the same boom - It tends to equal out.

Finally, suppose you are a first-time buyer and wait until the beginning of a boom is near. If you guess wrong, are you going to wait...and wait...and wait...till the next depressed market? If so, you could miss out on loads of depreciation...and that is assuming you guessed right about your market timing? For instance, in 1996 when the home market was struggling, who would have predicted what the next seven years actually produced?

Rob Alley
REALTOR® - Roy Wheeler Realty Co.
President - Virginia Tech Alumni Association - Charlottesville Chapter
Boy Scouts of America - District Advancement Chairman - Monticello District
434-220-7630 (office)
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com/

The Big Bad Market

Ok, It’s Time to Come Out Now

If you don't have a TV, a radio, or a newspaper, you may have missed all of the negative press surrounding the mortgage and housing markets. The severity of the situation has created a mild panic that has paralyzed the consumer. If you are waiting for a "bottom" to the overall crisis, and for all the news to turn positive, don't hold your breath. Typically, where tragedy occurs, opportunity arises. Let me show you why it is "OK to come out now," and why you might be sorry if you wait too long.

Mortgage Meltdown?

The news might have you thinking that no one can get a loan these days. This is far from true. Hindsight has given us a clear picture of the kind of loans that shouldn't be offered again. The loans that have performed more consistently are still abundantly available, and you might be surprised that you can qualify.

Banks like to see strength in at least 2 of the 4 areas:
Credit Score
Sufficient verifiable income for the payment amount
Equity in the property or down payment
Liquid assets (money in the bank, stock market, IRA's, 401k's, etc...)

The items that will make your loan more difficult to obtain:
Non-Owner Occupied (investment property)
Stated or No Income (meaning you can't prove it with W2's or Tax Returns)

Bottom Line: If you can legitimately afford to make a regular house payment, there's a very high chance that this can be proven to a lender, who will in turn be happy to give you an excellent loan.

To make things better, interest rates are historically low. At the very lowest point in mortgage rate history, a 30 year fixed conforming loan danced around the 5.0% range. In the last several weeks, it has dropped to 5.625%. There is even further impetus to act on this information. Even if prices decline another 10% due to the market panic, there are sellers out there right now selling for 20% under current appraised value. So you might find a house for $160,000 today that will end up being worth $180,000 when the market bottoms out - a paradox, but true. This also means that your value is likely to be at it's highest as far as refinancing. Remember that EQUITY is one of the positive factors banks consider.

If you think you might be in your current home for more than a few years, have an adjustable rate mortgage, or have an interest rate that's over 6% - or - if you are a potential home-buyer, it is OK to come out now. Doing so could save you lots of money.

The Pendulum Effect

National average home prices are down significantly. This trend will continue, but consider three things. First, the hardest-hit markets drag down the average depreciation. Second, mid to high priced homes were more inflated than entry level housing. When those homes depreciate, they have farther to fall than a lower priced home. This also brings down the national home price average. Finally, panic can create a knee-jerk reaction among sellers, and market perception can create hesitancy among buyers.

What does this all mean? It's a GREAT time to shop for a moderately priced home. When the market has found a solid bottom and the demand returns, there will be a lot less ambiguity about what a home in your area is really worth. Sellers will be less willing to entertain offers, and selection will decrease.

Recession and Expansion

There are times when the economy is brisk and everyone feels confident about his or her prospects for the future. As a result, they spend more money, eat out more often, and buy more new cars and houses.

Then, for one reason or another, the economy slows down. Companies lay off employees and consumers are more careful about where they spend money, perhaps saving more than usual. As a result, the economy decelerates even further. If it slows enough, we have a recession. During such a time, fewer people are buying homes. Even so, some homeowners find themselves in a situation where they must sell. Families grow beyond the capacity of the home, employees get relocated, and some may even find themselves unable to make their mortgage payment - perhaps because of a layoff in the family.

In the business cycle of real estate, there are buyers' markets and sellers' markets...and some markets in between. It is all based on supply and/or demand.

Supply and Demand - Inventory

During a seller’s market, homes sell quickly and sellers have a lot of pricing power. As a result, prices rise more rapidly than at other times. During a buyer’s market, homes may sit on the market for a while before selling; consequently, sellers become more flexible and may even drop their prices.
The market is determined by supply and demand.

In real estate, the relationship between supply and demand is calculated as "available inventory." At the current sales pace, how long would it take to sell the total number of houses available on the market? That is how the real estate industry measures inventory.

Inventory is measured in weeks and months. Longer inventory times are associated with buyers' markets. Shorter inventory periods are associated with sellers' markets. Some buyers and sellers hope to time their transactions to take advantage of market cycles.

Timing Your Purchase to the Market Cycle

The real estate market does not necessarily move in tandem with the stock market or the economy as a whole. When the economy is doing well, interest rates are generally higher. The result is that fewer people can afford houses. When the economy slows down, interest rates fall. The "affordability index" moves up and more people can afford houses.

As you can see, this cycle does not move "in sync" with the rest of the economy. One problem with attempting to time your purchase to the business cycle is that even experts have problems accurately predicting the future economy. It is also strongly influenced by employment, salary, and consumer outlook for the future. If you could "time the market," that strategy would most benefit first-time buyers. All these factors make it difficult to know, in advance, whether the housing market is going to boom or bust.

Why You Should Not Wait to Purchase a Home

People who already own a home usually need to sell it in order to come up with the down payment for their next home. Even if they don't, they would have to carry the debt and obligations on two homes at the same time. This can create financial hardship, even when you rent out the previous home. There are maintenance costs, renters don't always make their payments on time, the rent may not cover the mortgage and other costs, and sometimes the property may be vacant.

If you are a move-up buyer and want to purchase your next home during a depressed market, you generally have to sell your current home during that same depressed market. If you want to sell during a boom, then you also have to purchase during the same boom - It tends to equal out.

Finally, suppose you are a first-time buyer and wait until the beginning of a boom is near. If you guess wrong, are you going to wait...and wait...and wait...till the next depressed market? If so, you could miss out on loads of depreciation...and that is assuming you guessed right about your market timing? For instance, in 1996 when the home market was struggling, who would have predicted what the next seven years actually produced?

Rob Alley
REALTOR® - Roy Wheeler Realty Co.
President - Virginia Tech Alumni Association - Charlottesville Chapter
Boy Scouts of America - District Advancement Chairman - Monticello District
434-220-7630 (office)
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com/

Thursday, December 6, 2007

Charlottesville Real Estate: The Numbers That Really Matter

The most important factor in buying or selling a home isn't what is going on nationally - it is what is going on in your local market.

Whatever the national trends are with regard to real estate - whether they are booming or busting - what really matters is what the market conditions are in your region, town, or neighborhood. What does that mean? Even during the real estate boom of 2001-2005, a great many cities and regions did not participate in the boom - they lagged behind, or even decreased in value. Similarly, when prices began to fall nationally, there were plenty of regions and locales where prices increased, and sales boomed.

Evaluating present and future trends and influences in your region or neighborhood is essential to creating long term wealth, whether you are in a buyer's or a seller's market. Detailed information at the local level is what is most useful for home buyers, sellers, owners and window shoppers. The trend data at the metro area level, or the nation, is great water cooler talk, but not that relevant when you’re making decisions about your most important asset.
That being said, let’s look at how our local area did for November and what we should expect for the months leading into the Spring Market.

City of Charlottesville

There were 169 homes that had some type of sales activity in the city. There were 137 homes that went under contract and 33 homes that sold for an average price of $292,218 with an average DOM of 75 days. There are currently 364 active properties in the city.

Albemarle County

There were 243 homes that had some type of sales activity in the county. There were 190 homes that went under contract and 53 homes that sold for an average price of $385,383 with an average DOM of 90 days. There are currently 916 active properties in the county.

Fluvanna County

There were 56 homes that had some type of sales activity in the county. There were 37 homes that went under contract and 19 homes that sold for an average price of $275,373 with an average DOM of 93 days. There are currently 325 active properties in the county.

Greene County

There were 44 homes that had some type of sales activity in the county. There were 30 homes that went under contract and 14 homes that sold for an average price of $287,432 with an average DOM of 92 days. There are currently 199 active properties in the county.

Mortgage Industry

Long-term mortgage interest rates fell for the fifth night Friday. The 30-year fixed-rate average sank to 5.69 percent, and the 15-year fixed rate dipped to 5.27 percent. The 1-year adjustable slipped to 5.47 percent. We are currently seeing the lowest 30-year fixed interest rate in over two years. Mortgage rate figures are according to Bankrate.com, which publishes nightly averages based on its survey of 4,000 banks in 50 states.

Conclusion

All buyers, especially first time homebuyers, with the combined benefits of seller flexibility and an unexpected drop in mortgage interest rates, have a window of opportunity. These conditions will persist in many areas until early spring when inventory supplies are likely to become more balanced. Several factors converge to make the winter months a great time to buy real estate. One primary factor is the low mortgage interest rates being offered, which are hovering around 5.69 percent.

If you are conservative, and have been thinking about refinancing your home loan or buying a property - now is the time to act. Interest rates are historically low - and homes are an abundance of homes available - but it won't stay that way forever. You will want to contact your lender (or ask your Realtor for their preferred lender) and lock your rates. You can’t lock them forever, so you will have to be ready, and able to purchase a house or refinance.

If you are a risk taker, you may want to wait a little longer to see if you can get lucky enough to get a better rate, but you are going to have to pay close attention and be willing to pull the trigger quickly.

For more information on our Local Real Estate Market, there will be Home Buying Seminars on December 6th and 13th. Please RSVP to these events and learn more about your most important investment.

Rob AlleyRealtorRoy Wheeler Realty Co.President - Virginia Tech Alumni Association - Charlottesville ChapterBoy Scouts of America - District Advancement Chairman - Monticello District434-220-7630 (office)http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com/

Charlottesville Real Estate: The Numbers That Really Matter

The most important factor in buying or selling a home isn't what is going on nationally - it is what is going on in your local market.

Whatever the national trends are with regard to real estate - whether they are booming or busting - what really matters is what the market conditions are in your region, town, or neighborhood. What does that mean? Even during the real estate boom of 2001-2005, a great many cities and regions did not participate in the boom - they lagged behind, or even decreased in value. Similarly, when prices began to fall nationally, there were plenty of regions and locales where prices increased, and sales boomed.

Evaluating present and future trends and influences in your region or neighborhood is essential to creating long term wealth, whether you are in a buyer's or a seller's market. Detailed information at the local level is what is most useful for home buyers, sellers, owners and window shoppers. The trend data at the metro area level, or the nation, is great water cooler talk, but not that relevant when you’re making decisions about your most important asset.
That being said, let’s look at how our local area did for November and what we should expect for the months leading into the Spring Market.

City of Charlottesville

There were 169 homes that had some type of sales activity in the city. There were 137 homes that went under contract and 33 homes that sold for an average price of $292,218 with an average DOM of 75 days. There are currently 364 active properties in the city.

Albemarle County

There were 243 homes that had some type of sales activity in the county. There were 190 homes that went under contract and 53 homes that sold for an average price of $385,383 with an average DOM of 90 days. There are currently 916 active properties in the county.

Fluvanna County

There were 56 homes that had some type of sales activity in the county. There were 37 homes that went under contract and 19 homes that sold for an average price of $275,373 with an average DOM of 93 days. There are currently 325 active properties in the county.

Greene County

There were 44 homes that had some type of sales activity in the county. There were 30 homes that went under contract and 14 homes that sold for an average price of $287,432 with an average DOM of 92 days. There are currently 199 active properties in the county.

Mortgage Industry

Long-term mortgage interest rates fell for the fifth night Friday. The 30-year fixed-rate average sank to 5.69 percent, and the 15-year fixed rate dipped to 5.27 percent. The 1-year adjustable slipped to 5.47 percent. We are currently seeing the lowest 30-year fixed interest rate in over two years. Mortgage rate figures are according to Bankrate.com, which publishes nightly averages based on its survey of 4,000 banks in 50 states.

Conclusion

All buyers, especially first time homebuyers, with the combined benefits of seller flexibility and an unexpected drop in mortgage interest rates, have a window of opportunity. These conditions will persist in many areas until early spring when inventory supplies are likely to become more balanced. Several factors converge to make the winter months a great time to buy real estate. One primary factor is the low mortgage interest rates being offered, which are hovering around 5.69 percent.

If you are conservative, and have been thinking about refinancing your home loan or buying a property - now is the time to act. Interest rates are historically low - and homes are an abundance of homes available - but it won't stay that way forever. You will want to contact your lender (or ask your Realtor for their preferred lender) and lock your rates. You can’t lock them forever, so you will have to be ready, and able to purchase a house or refinance.

If you are a risk taker, you may want to wait a little longer to see if you can get lucky enough to get a better rate, but you are going to have to pay close attention and be willing to pull the trigger quickly.

For more information on our Local Real Estate Market, there will be Home Buying Seminars on December 6th and 13th. Please RSVP to these events and learn more about your most important investment.

Rob AlleyRealtorRoy Wheeler Realty Co.President - Virginia Tech Alumni Association - Charlottesville ChapterBoy Scouts of America - District Advancement Chairman - Monticello District434-220-7630 (office)http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com/

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