Tuesday, September 30, 2008

To finance or not to finance....

Tuesday's bond market has well in negative territory following a stock rebound that has shifted funds back away from bonds. The stock markets are rebounding after yesterday's walloping with the Dow up 260 points and the Nasdaq up 30 points. This means that the major stock indexes have recovered approximately one-third of yesterday's losses. The bond market benefited form yesterday's stock sell-off but is suffering today as investors move funds back into stocks. The result is the bond market down 13/32 that will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .250 of a discount point.

Today's only economic news was September's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI). It showed a reading of 59.8 that was much higher than forecasts had called for. Analysts were expecting to see a reading of 55.0, meaning that consumers had more confidence in their own financial situation than was expected. This is considered bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because it indicates that consumers are more willing to make large purchases in the near future.

Tomorrow only relevant data is the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing index for September. This index gives us an indication of manufacturer sentiment. Analysts are expecting to see a 0.4 decline from last month's 49.9 reading. The 50.0 benchmark is extremely important because a reading below that level means more surveyed executives felt business worsened than those who said it had improved. This data is important not only because it measures manufacturer sentiment, but it is very recent data. Some economic releases track data that are 30-60 days old, but the ISM index is only a few weeks old. If we get a smaller than expected reading, I expect to see the bond market rally and mortgage rates fall tomorrow morning.

We need to keep an eye on the stock markets and Fed bailout attempt. I don't think we will see much come today as the markets take a breather, but we probably will see more volatility in stocks before the end of the week. This could affect bond prices and mortgage rates. Generally speaking, look for stock weakness to lead to bond gains and lower mortgage rates as investors move funds into the safety of bonds. If the stock markets continue to move higher, we should see bonds suffer and mortgage rates move higher.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

To finance or not to finance....

Tuesday's bond market has well in negative territory following a stock rebound that has shifted funds back away from bonds. The stock markets are rebounding after yesterday's walloping with the Dow up 260 points and the Nasdaq up 30 points. This means that the major stock indexes have recovered approximately one-third of yesterday's losses. The bond market benefited form yesterday's stock sell-off but is suffering today as investors move funds back into stocks. The result is the bond market down 13/32 that will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .250 of a discount point.

Today's only economic news was September's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI). It showed a reading of 59.8 that was much higher than forecasts had called for. Analysts were expecting to see a reading of 55.0, meaning that consumers had more confidence in their own financial situation than was expected. This is considered bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because it indicates that consumers are more willing to make large purchases in the near future.

Tomorrow only relevant data is the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing index for September. This index gives us an indication of manufacturer sentiment. Analysts are expecting to see a 0.4 decline from last month's 49.9 reading. The 50.0 benchmark is extremely important because a reading below that level means more surveyed executives felt business worsened than those who said it had improved. This data is important not only because it measures manufacturer sentiment, but it is very recent data. Some economic releases track data that are 30-60 days old, but the ISM index is only a few weeks old. If we get a smaller than expected reading, I expect to see the bond market rally and mortgage rates fall tomorrow morning.

We need to keep an eye on the stock markets and Fed bailout attempt. I don't think we will see much come today as the markets take a breather, but we probably will see more volatility in stocks before the end of the week. This could affect bond prices and mortgage rates. Generally speaking, look for stock weakness to lead to bond gains and lower mortgage rates as investors move funds into the safety of bonds. If the stock markets continue to move higher, we should see bonds suffer and mortgage rates move higher.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Credit Scoring Part III: Dealing with Challenges

Part III: Dealing with Challenges

Typically, a person with a low credit score is in this position because they lack structure in his or her life. There are, of course, cases where unplanned health or employment complications are to blame, but for the most part, these are individuals who lack the discipline to pay their bills on time or curb their spending.
Let's take a look at some examples that can help to quickly improve less-than-perfect credit scores for the potential homebuyer:

Let's say we have a borrower with a credit score of 664. She has a concentration of credit card debt on one card; let's say $17,000 on a card with a $20,000 limit. At the same time, she has four or five additional credit cards, all with a zero balance. I would advise the borrower to distribute the debt over a number of her cards. Remember, a borrower's credit to debt ratio represents 30% of his or her overall score. By simply changing the ratio of available credit to debt, the borrower in this example could possibly increase her credit score to something closer to 700, saving thousands of dollars on her mortgage.

Another thing to take into consideration in a case like this is what percentage each of the five factors measure in the resulting credit score. Let's say we have a borrower with a "credit high" (the maximum debt allowance on all cards, combined) of $20,000. He has one card that is used for business purposes that is pushing the limit. I would advise the client to get two new cards and, once again, spread the debt out over all of his cards, leaving at least 30% available credit on each card. This will positively affect his overall score, based on the five elements of the FICO scoring model.

Conversely, the borrower should be advised not to close any existing credit card accounts, even if they are at a zero balance. Some people think they are doing themselves a favor by having fewer cards, but they lose out on the credit history factor. Even if the borrower does not have a good rate on an old credit card, they are rewarded for having the long-term credit history, and from time to time they should make a small purchase to keep the account in an active status.
These are just a few examples of what borrowers can do to improve their credit scores when they consider buying a home. If you are disappointed by the fact that you cannot get the most desirable loan up front, monitor your payment history and in time your school will rise so that you can purchase a home or refinance at a more favorable rate.

Stay tuned for Credit Scoring, Part IV: Credit Remediation

written by Leonard Winslow, a Mortgage Loan Officer, of Gateway Bank Mortgage, INC. for The Avery Group Real Estate Blog

Credit Scoring Part III: Dealing with Challenges

Part III: Dealing with Challenges

Typically, a person with a low credit score is in this position because they lack structure in his or her life. There are, of course, cases where unplanned health or employment complications are to blame, but for the most part, these are individuals who lack the discipline to pay their bills on time or curb their spending.
Let's take a look at some examples that can help to quickly improve less-than-perfect credit scores for the potential homebuyer:

Let's say we have a borrower with a credit score of 664. She has a concentration of credit card debt on one card; let's say $17,000 on a card with a $20,000 limit. At the same time, she has four or five additional credit cards, all with a zero balance. I would advise the borrower to distribute the debt over a number of her cards. Remember, a borrower's credit to debt ratio represents 30% of his or her overall score. By simply changing the ratio of available credit to debt, the borrower in this example could possibly increase her credit score to something closer to 700, saving thousands of dollars on her mortgage.

Another thing to take into consideration in a case like this is what percentage each of the five factors measure in the resulting credit score. Let's say we have a borrower with a "credit high" (the maximum debt allowance on all cards, combined) of $20,000. He has one card that is used for business purposes that is pushing the limit. I would advise the client to get two new cards and, once again, spread the debt out over all of his cards, leaving at least 30% available credit on each card. This will positively affect his overall score, based on the five elements of the FICO scoring model.

Conversely, the borrower should be advised not to close any existing credit card accounts, even if they are at a zero balance. Some people think they are doing themselves a favor by having fewer cards, but they lose out on the credit history factor. Even if the borrower does not have a good rate on an old credit card, they are rewarded for having the long-term credit history, and from time to time they should make a small purchase to keep the account in an active status.
These are just a few examples of what borrowers can do to improve their credit scores when they consider buying a home. If you are disappointed by the fact that you cannot get the most desirable loan up front, monitor your payment history and in time your school will rise so that you can purchase a home or refinance at a more favorable rate.

Stay tuned for Credit Scoring, Part IV: Credit Remediation

written by Leonard Winslow, a Mortgage Loan Officer, of Gateway Bank Mortgage, INC. for The Avery Group Real Estate Blog

Friday, September 26, 2008

Credit Scoring Part II

Part II: The Five Factors of Credit Scoring
There are five factors that comprise the credit score. They are listed below in order of importance, just as an underwriter would look at the score:

· Payment History: 35% impact. Paying debt on time and in full has a positive impact. Late payments, judgments and charge-offs have a negative impact. Missing a high payment has a more severe impact than missing a low payment. Delinquencies that have occurred in the last two years carry more weight than older items.
· Outstanding Credit Balances: 30% impact. This factor marks the ratio between the outstanding balance and available credit. Ideally, the consumer should make an effort to keep balances as close to zero as possible, and definitely below 30% of the available credit limit when trying to purchase a home.
· Credit History: 15% impact. This marks the length of time since a particular credit line was established. A seasoned borrower is stronger in this area.
· Type of Credit: 10% impact. A mix of auto loans, credit cards, and mortgages is more positive than a concentration of debt from credit cards only.
· Inquiries: 10% impact. This quantifies the number of inquiries that have been made on a consumer's credit history within a six-month period. Each hard inquiry can cost from 2 to 50 points on a credit score, but the maximum number of inquiries that will reduce the score is 10. In other words, 11 or more inquiries in a six-month period will have no further impact on the borrower's credit score.

Remember, a computer that's not taking any personal factors into consideration calculates these scores. When a credit report is generated, it is simply today's snapshot of the borrower's credit profile. This can fluctuate dramatically within the course of a week, depending on the individual's own activities. The borrower should be made aware of this when they enter into the loan process, and know that it's not in their best interest to go out on a shopping spree. They need to make sure they are not creating a negative impact on the score while the lender is reviewing their file.

Secondly, it is often beneficial to compile a tri-merge credit report. This provides scores from the three credit bureaus, Experian®, TransUnion®, and Equifax. The lender should be provided with this rounded profile because these three scoring systems can vary in their results. The lender is going to look at the middle score and throw out the other two. In many cases, this works to the borrower's advantage.

Stay tuned for Credit Scoring, Part III: Dealing with Challenges
written by Leonard Winslow, a Mortgage Loan Officer, of Gateway Bank Mortgage, INC. for The Avery Group Real Estate Blog

Credit Scoring Part II

Part II: The Five Factors of Credit Scoring
There are five factors that comprise the credit score. They are listed below in order of importance, just as an underwriter would look at the score:

· Payment History: 35% impact. Paying debt on time and in full has a positive impact. Late payments, judgments and charge-offs have a negative impact. Missing a high payment has a more severe impact than missing a low payment. Delinquencies that have occurred in the last two years carry more weight than older items.
· Outstanding Credit Balances: 30% impact. This factor marks the ratio between the outstanding balance and available credit. Ideally, the consumer should make an effort to keep balances as close to zero as possible, and definitely below 30% of the available credit limit when trying to purchase a home.
· Credit History: 15% impact. This marks the length of time since a particular credit line was established. A seasoned borrower is stronger in this area.
· Type of Credit: 10% impact. A mix of auto loans, credit cards, and mortgages is more positive than a concentration of debt from credit cards only.
· Inquiries: 10% impact. This quantifies the number of inquiries that have been made on a consumer's credit history within a six-month period. Each hard inquiry can cost from 2 to 50 points on a credit score, but the maximum number of inquiries that will reduce the score is 10. In other words, 11 or more inquiries in a six-month period will have no further impact on the borrower's credit score.

Remember, a computer that's not taking any personal factors into consideration calculates these scores. When a credit report is generated, it is simply today's snapshot of the borrower's credit profile. This can fluctuate dramatically within the course of a week, depending on the individual's own activities. The borrower should be made aware of this when they enter into the loan process, and know that it's not in their best interest to go out on a shopping spree. They need to make sure they are not creating a negative impact on the score while the lender is reviewing their file.

Secondly, it is often beneficial to compile a tri-merge credit report. This provides scores from the three credit bureaus, Experian®, TransUnion®, and Equifax. The lender should be provided with this rounded profile because these three scoring systems can vary in their results. The lender is going to look at the middle score and throw out the other two. In many cases, this works to the borrower's advantage.

Stay tuned for Credit Scoring, Part III: Dealing with Challenges
written by Leonard Winslow, a Mortgage Loan Officer, of Gateway Bank Mortgage, INC. for The Avery Group Real Estate Blog

Thursday, September 18, 2008

Good Credit Translates into Lower Rates for the Consumer

Credit Scoring

Part I: Good Credit Translates into Lower Rates for the Consumer

In the 1960s, Fair Isaac Corporation started working on a system lenders could use to evaluate the likelihood of receiving repayment on loans. Prior to that, it was really a matter of trusting an individual to be a "man of his word," so to speak. Fair Isaac sought to take human error out of the equation with a reliable system that could determine whether or not consumers were truly worthy of credit, and thus FICO was born. This evolved to become the standard for lenders by the 1980s.
Credit scoring has an enormous impact on a borrower's ability to purchase a home. It can mean the difference between getting a good interest rate and the home of their dreams, or whether they even qualify at all. For this reason, it is important for borrowers to understand the credit scoring process, and to know what their credit score is when they look to obtain mortgage financing.
What the credit scoring model seeks to quantify is how likely the consumer is to pay off their debt without being more than 90 days late on a payment at any time in the future. Credit scores can range between a low score of 350 and a high of 850. The higher the client's score is, the less likely they are to default on their loan. Only a rare one out of approximately 1300 people in the United States has a credit score above 800. These are the clients that walk away with the best interest rates even though they may fall out of the box in some degree. On the other hand, one out of eight prospective home buyers are faced with the possibility that they may not qualify for the loan they want because they have a score between 500 and 600.

Stay tuned for Credit Scoring, Part II: The Five Factors of Credit Scoring

written by Leonard Winslow, a Mortgage Loan Officer, of Gateway Bank Mortgage, INC. for The Avery Group Real Estate Blog

Good Credit Translates into Lower Rates for the Consumer

Credit Scoring

Part I: Good Credit Translates into Lower Rates for the Consumer

In the 1960s, Fair Isaac Corporation started working on a system lenders could use to evaluate the likelihood of receiving repayment on loans. Prior to that, it was really a matter of trusting an individual to be a "man of his word," so to speak. Fair Isaac sought to take human error out of the equation with a reliable system that could determine whether or not consumers were truly worthy of credit, and thus FICO was born. This evolved to become the standard for lenders by the 1980s.
Credit scoring has an enormous impact on a borrower's ability to purchase a home. It can mean the difference between getting a good interest rate and the home of their dreams, or whether they even qualify at all. For this reason, it is important for borrowers to understand the credit scoring process, and to know what their credit score is when they look to obtain mortgage financing.
What the credit scoring model seeks to quantify is how likely the consumer is to pay off their debt without being more than 90 days late on a payment at any time in the future. Credit scores can range between a low score of 350 and a high of 850. The higher the client's score is, the less likely they are to default on their loan. Only a rare one out of approximately 1300 people in the United States has a credit score above 800. These are the clients that walk away with the best interest rates even though they may fall out of the box in some degree. On the other hand, one out of eight prospective home buyers are faced with the possibility that they may not qualify for the loan they want because they have a score between 500 and 600.

Stay tuned for Credit Scoring, Part II: The Five Factors of Credit Scoring

written by Leonard Winslow, a Mortgage Loan Officer, of Gateway Bank Mortgage, INC. for The Avery Group Real Estate Blog

First Ever Video Walkthrough Tour by The Avery Group

The first video walkthrough tour by The Avery Group. This is a home we have listed in Gordonsville, VA. 19408 Lovers Lane.



I have some work to do to get this all perfected, but it is coming along and before you know it, video walkthrough tours will be a permanent part of Avery Group listings!

First Ever Video Walkthrough Tour by The Avery Group

The first video walkthrough tour by The Avery Group. This is a home we have listed in Gordonsville, VA. 19408 Lovers Lane.



I have some work to do to get this all perfected, but it is coming along and before you know it, video walkthrough tours will be a permanent part of Avery Group listings!

Monday, September 15, 2008

Avery Group to Start Video Tours of Homes!

With the addition of a Sony Full HD 1920x1080i Handycam to the Avery Group, we will start doing video walkthroughs of homes. This should be a serious step up from the old fashioned Virtual Tours. Especially since Virtual Tours are, more often than not, glorified slideshows. This should give more information and more detail of a home than still pictures stitched together. This will be a huge step forward for the technology that is already incorporated in the Real Estate Practices of the Avery Group. The first tour should be ready by the end of this week and we will be walking through 19408 Lovers Lane. I will keep you posted...

Avery Group to Start Video Tours of Homes!

With the addition of a Sony Full HD 1920x1080i Handycam to the Avery Group, we will start doing video walkthroughs of homes. This should be a serious step up from the old fashioned Virtual Tours. Especially since Virtual Tours are, more often than not, glorified slideshows. This should give more information and more detail of a home than still pictures stitched together. This will be a huge step forward for the technology that is already incorporated in the Real Estate Practices of the Avery Group. The first tour should be ready by the end of this week and we will be walking through 19408 Lovers Lane. I will keep you posted...

Tuesday, September 9, 2008

A Lender's Views on the Short Sale, Foreclosure

I was speaking with a mortgage loan officer today about the short sale, foreclosure, and mortgage "crisis" and his point of view was so interesting, I got him to put it in writing so I could share it. Here it goes:
FANNIE MAE AND FREDIE MAC TAKE OVER:
"The government is spending our dollars again"
"The mortgage companies have caused this debacle"
"The loan officer is a cheat and thief"
"My Realtor made me do it"
"It wasn’t explained to me"
"ITS NOT MY FAULT"-----------BALONEY
Lets put the blame where it truly belongs. It was and is the general public who is at fault. More specifically all those poor little folks who are having their homes taken from them because they can’t make their payments because they bought more than they should have, never paid their bills on time and want to have everything handed to them on a silver platter. SORRY you have been screwed blued and tattooed. In other words you deserve what you got or are getting. Grow up. Learn to pay your bills on time; learn to be honest about how much income you make, disclose the proper income on your tax returns... In my 20 years I have never seen more people think they deserve to have a home and therefore it should be handed to them. How any times have you wondered how your friend who has all the expensive toys yet works with so you know what they make, yet they can buy the 500,000 home. Guess what they don’t have that home now do they. And guess again who is paying for it one way or the other. That’s right, YOU ARE. Whose fault is it? Not mine. It comes down to Greed. Greed of the homeowner for wanting the mansion, GREED of the Realtor for wanting the commission, GREED of the loan officer for making the sub prime loan for the commission, Greed of the investors you wanted more income and GREED of the bond traders that gave the loan officers the guidelines.
I may sound harsh and unfeeling, it some ways I am, but in others I want to show the compassion to the hard working folks that have worked for what they have and take pride in that. Those hardworking folks that are having there homes taken because of the dishonesty of others should be helped, those people that are having there homes taken due to a loss of job or medical reasons should be helped, but the greedy home owners, they have gotten what they deserve.
Leonard Winslow, Mortgage Loan Officer
Gateway Bank Mortgage, INC.

Wow, those are some powerful words. Let us know what you think by posting comments!
Charlottesville Real Estate
Avery Group
Forest Lakes Real Estate
Charlottesville Real Estate Blog

A Lender's Views on the Short Sale, Foreclosure

I was speaking with a mortgage loan officer today about the short sale, foreclosure, and mortgage "crisis" and his point of view was so interesting, I got him to put it in writing so I could share it. Here it goes:
FANNIE MAE AND FREDIE MAC TAKE OVER:
"The government is spending our dollars again"
"The mortgage companies have caused this debacle"
"The loan officer is a cheat and thief"
"My Realtor made me do it"
"It wasn’t explained to me"
"ITS NOT MY FAULT"-----------BALONEY
Lets put the blame where it truly belongs. It was and is the general public who is at fault. More specifically all those poor little folks who are having their homes taken from them because they can’t make their payments because they bought more than they should have, never paid their bills on time and want to have everything handed to them on a silver platter. SORRY you have been screwed blued and tattooed. In other words you deserve what you got or are getting. Grow up. Learn to pay your bills on time; learn to be honest about how much income you make, disclose the proper income on your tax returns... In my 20 years I have never seen more people think they deserve to have a home and therefore it should be handed to them. How any times have you wondered how your friend who has all the expensive toys yet works with so you know what they make, yet they can buy the 500,000 home. Guess what they don’t have that home now do they. And guess again who is paying for it one way or the other. That’s right, YOU ARE. Whose fault is it? Not mine. It comes down to Greed. Greed of the homeowner for wanting the mansion, GREED of the Realtor for wanting the commission, GREED of the loan officer for making the sub prime loan for the commission, Greed of the investors you wanted more income and GREED of the bond traders that gave the loan officers the guidelines.
I may sound harsh and unfeeling, it some ways I am, but in others I want to show the compassion to the hard working folks that have worked for what they have and take pride in that. Those hardworking folks that are having there homes taken because of the dishonesty of others should be helped, those people that are having there homes taken due to a loss of job or medical reasons should be helped, but the greedy home owners, they have gotten what they deserve.
Leonard Winslow, Mortgage Loan Officer
Gateway Bank Mortgage, INC.

Wow, those are some powerful words. Let us know what you think by posting comments!
Charlottesville Real Estate
Avery Group
Forest Lakes Real Estate
Charlottesville Real Estate Blog

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