Mortgage Bonds have started the New Year to the upside; however, prices still need to break out of the worsening trend they have been in since November 25th.
In other news, last week the Fed purchased just $9.3B in Mortgage Backed Securities. With the Fed buying fewer Mortgage Bonds and wrapping the program up entirely at the end of March, any improvement in rates may be modest at best. Also, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart will be speaking later today and this could impact the markets.
I recommend floating for now to see if Bonds can stabilize but I will let you know if we need to change course."
Leonard Winslow, New American Mortgage, Charlottesville
434-760-2580 (cell)
leonard.winslow@newamerican.com
www.newamerican.com/leonard.winslow
Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission. License #: MC-5112.
Showing posts with label leonard winslow. Show all posts
Showing posts with label leonard winslow. Show all posts
Monday, January 4, 2010
Market Comment
Mortgage Bonds have started the New Year to the upside; however, prices still need to break out of the worsening trend they have been in since November 25th.
In other news, last week the Fed purchased just $9.3B in Mortgage Backed Securities. With the Fed buying fewer Mortgage Bonds and wrapping the program up entirely at the end of March, any improvement in rates may be modest at best. Also, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart will be speaking later today and this could impact the markets.
I recommend floating for now to see if Bonds can stabilize but I will let you know if we need to change course."
Leonard Winslow, New American Mortgage, Charlottesville
434-760-2580 (cell)
leonard.winslow@newamerican.com
www.newamerican.com/leonard.winslow
Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission. License #: MC-5112.
In other news, last week the Fed purchased just $9.3B in Mortgage Backed Securities. With the Fed buying fewer Mortgage Bonds and wrapping the program up entirely at the end of March, any improvement in rates may be modest at best. Also, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart will be speaking later today and this could impact the markets.
I recommend floating for now to see if Bonds can stabilize but I will let you know if we need to change course."
Leonard Winslow, New American Mortgage, Charlottesville
434-760-2580 (cell)
leonard.winslow@newamerican.com
www.newamerican.com/leonard.winslow
Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission. License #: MC-5112.
Tuesday, September 22, 2009
Daily Rate Lock Advisory
Tuesday's bond market has opened up slightly despite no relevant economic news on tap today. The stock markets showing minor gains with the Dow up 27 points and the Nasdaq up 6 points. The bond market is currently up 4/32, but we will again likely see little change in this morning's mortgage rates as traders and lenders wait for tomorrow's events to take place before making any sizable changes.
There are no significant events or relevant economic reports scheduled for today. Investors seem to be preparing for tomorrow's events and will likely keep bond prices near current levels until then. This means I am not expecting to see any noticeable changes to mortgage rates this afternoon.
The first of this week's two important Treasury sales will take place tomorrow and the Fed's two-day FOMC meeting will adjourn tomorrow afternoon. The Treasury will sell 5-year Notes tomorrow and 7-year Notes Thursday. If investor demand in these sales is strong, pa rticularly from international buyers, the broader bond market should move higher pushing mortgage rates lower. But a lackluster interest from investors could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage pricing. The results of each sale will be announced at 1:00 PM ET each day, so any reaction to the results will come during afternoon trading tomorrow and Thursday.
The FOMC meeting began today and will adjourn at 2:15 PM tomorrow afternoon. There is little possibility of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to find when the Fed's next move may come. The wild card is how the markets react to the statement because the lack of a change to monetary policy will not affect the markets. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mo rtgage rates during afternoon hours and Thursday morning.
We will finally get to see some economic data later this week. Thursday brings us the release of one relevant monthly report and Friday as three scheduled. None of the reports are considered to be extremely important to the markets, but we may see some movement in rates as a result of it, particularly Friday.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com/
http://www.forestlakesliving.com/
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com/
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com/
http://www.theaverygroup.com/
There are no significant events or relevant economic reports scheduled for today. Investors seem to be preparing for tomorrow's events and will likely keep bond prices near current levels until then. This means I am not expecting to see any noticeable changes to mortgage rates this afternoon.
The first of this week's two important Treasury sales will take place tomorrow and the Fed's two-day FOMC meeting will adjourn tomorrow afternoon. The Treasury will sell 5-year Notes tomorrow and 7-year Notes Thursday. If investor demand in these sales is strong, pa rticularly from international buyers, the broader bond market should move higher pushing mortgage rates lower. But a lackluster interest from investors could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage pricing. The results of each sale will be announced at 1:00 PM ET each day, so any reaction to the results will come during afternoon trading tomorrow and Thursday.
The FOMC meeting began today and will adjourn at 2:15 PM tomorrow afternoon. There is little possibility of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to find when the Fed's next move may come. The wild card is how the markets react to the statement because the lack of a change to monetary policy will not affect the markets. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mo rtgage rates during afternoon hours and Thursday morning.
We will finally get to see some economic data later this week. Thursday brings us the release of one relevant monthly report and Friday as three scheduled. None of the reports are considered to be extremely important to the markets, but we may see some movement in rates as a result of it, particularly Friday.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com/
http://www.forestlakesliving.com/
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com/
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com/
http://www.theaverygroup.com/
Daily Rate Lock Advisory
Tuesday's bond market has opened up slightly despite no relevant economic news on tap today. The stock markets showing minor gains with the Dow up 27 points and the Nasdaq up 6 points. The bond market is currently up 4/32, but we will again likely see little change in this morning's mortgage rates as traders and lenders wait for tomorrow's events to take place before making any sizable changes.
There are no significant events or relevant economic reports scheduled for today. Investors seem to be preparing for tomorrow's events and will likely keep bond prices near current levels until then. This means I am not expecting to see any noticeable changes to mortgage rates this afternoon.
The first of this week's two important Treasury sales will take place tomorrow and the Fed's two-day FOMC meeting will adjourn tomorrow afternoon. The Treasury will sell 5-year Notes tomorrow and 7-year Notes Thursday. If investor demand in these sales is strong, pa rticularly from international buyers, the broader bond market should move higher pushing mortgage rates lower. But a lackluster interest from investors could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage pricing. The results of each sale will be announced at 1:00 PM ET each day, so any reaction to the results will come during afternoon trading tomorrow and Thursday.
The FOMC meeting began today and will adjourn at 2:15 PM tomorrow afternoon. There is little possibility of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to find when the Fed's next move may come. The wild card is how the markets react to the statement because the lack of a change to monetary policy will not affect the markets. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mo rtgage rates during afternoon hours and Thursday morning.
We will finally get to see some economic data later this week. Thursday brings us the release of one relevant monthly report and Friday as three scheduled. None of the reports are considered to be extremely important to the markets, but we may see some movement in rates as a result of it, particularly Friday.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com/
http://www.forestlakesliving.com/
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com/
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com/
http://www.theaverygroup.com/
There are no significant events or relevant economic reports scheduled for today. Investors seem to be preparing for tomorrow's events and will likely keep bond prices near current levels until then. This means I am not expecting to see any noticeable changes to mortgage rates this afternoon.
The first of this week's two important Treasury sales will take place tomorrow and the Fed's two-day FOMC meeting will adjourn tomorrow afternoon. The Treasury will sell 5-year Notes tomorrow and 7-year Notes Thursday. If investor demand in these sales is strong, pa rticularly from international buyers, the broader bond market should move higher pushing mortgage rates lower. But a lackluster interest from investors could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage pricing. The results of each sale will be announced at 1:00 PM ET each day, so any reaction to the results will come during afternoon trading tomorrow and Thursday.
The FOMC meeting began today and will adjourn at 2:15 PM tomorrow afternoon. There is little possibility of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to find when the Fed's next move may come. The wild card is how the markets react to the statement because the lack of a change to monetary policy will not affect the markets. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mo rtgage rates during afternoon hours and Thursday morning.
We will finally get to see some economic data later this week. Thursday brings us the release of one relevant monthly report and Friday as three scheduled. None of the reports are considered to be extremely important to the markets, but we may see some movement in rates as a result of it, particularly Friday.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com/
http://www.forestlakesliving.com/
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com/
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com/
http://www.theaverygroup.com/
Daily Rate Lock Advisory
Monday's bond market has opened in positive territory after this morning's sole economic report gave us a slightly lower than expected reading. The stock markets are mixed with the Dow down 30 points and the Nasdaq up 6 points. The bond market is currently up 12/32, but we will likely see little change in this morning's mortgage rates.
The Conference Board said late this morning that its Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) for August rose 0.6%, meaning that it is predicting moderate to rapid growth in economic activity over the next few months, but at a slightly slower pace than analysts had thought. This is basically good news for bonds, but an upward revision to July's reading offset this news. Besides, this data is considered to be only moderately important and a wide variance would have been needed to really influence trading and mortgage rates.
The rest of the week brings us the release of four more relevant economic reports in addition to an other FOMC meeting and two important Treasury auctions. None of the factual reports are considered to be highly important. In fact, most of the economic news is considered to be only moderately important. This should help limit the possibility of significant changes to mortgage rates most days this week.
There is relevant economic data scheduled for release tomorrow. The first of this week's two important Treasury sales will take place Wednesday and the Fed's two-day FOMC meeting will adjourn Wednesday afternoon. The Treasury will sell 5-year Notes Wednesday and 7-year Notes Thursday. If investor demand in these sales is strong, particularly from international buyers, the broader bond market should move higher pushing mortgage rates lower. But a lackluster interest from investors could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage pricing. The results of each sale will be announced at 1:00 PM ET each day, so any reaction to the results will come during afternoon tr ading Wednesday and Thursday.
The FOMC meeting will begin tomorrow and adjourn at 2:15 PM Wednesday. There is little possibility of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to find when the Fed's next move may come. The wild card is how the markets react to the statement because the lack of a change to monetary policy will not affect the markets. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mortgage rates Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning.
Overall, the single most important report of the week is Friday's Durable Goods Orders, but the most important day will probably be Wednesday due to the FOMC adjournment and the 5-year Treasury Note auction. Thursday's 7-year Note sale is actually a little more important for mortgage rates than Wednesday's auction but the first of the two will give us an idea of what to expect from Thursday's sale. I don't believe any of this week's data has the potential to move the markets or mortgage rates heavily. But, we may some change in rates day-to-day, with the most likely coming mid-week.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
The Conference Board said late this morning that its Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) for August rose 0.6%, meaning that it is predicting moderate to rapid growth in economic activity over the next few months, but at a slightly slower pace than analysts had thought. This is basically good news for bonds, but an upward revision to July's reading offset this news. Besides, this data is considered to be only moderately important and a wide variance would have been needed to really influence trading and mortgage rates.
The rest of the week brings us the release of four more relevant economic reports in addition to an other FOMC meeting and two important Treasury auctions. None of the factual reports are considered to be highly important. In fact, most of the economic news is considered to be only moderately important. This should help limit the possibility of significant changes to mortgage rates most days this week.
There is relevant economic data scheduled for release tomorrow. The first of this week's two important Treasury sales will take place Wednesday and the Fed's two-day FOMC meeting will adjourn Wednesday afternoon. The Treasury will sell 5-year Notes Wednesday and 7-year Notes Thursday. If investor demand in these sales is strong, particularly from international buyers, the broader bond market should move higher pushing mortgage rates lower. But a lackluster interest from investors could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage pricing. The results of each sale will be announced at 1:00 PM ET each day, so any reaction to the results will come during afternoon tr ading Wednesday and Thursday.
The FOMC meeting will begin tomorrow and adjourn at 2:15 PM Wednesday. There is little possibility of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to find when the Fed's next move may come. The wild card is how the markets react to the statement because the lack of a change to monetary policy will not affect the markets. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mortgage rates Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning.
Overall, the single most important report of the week is Friday's Durable Goods Orders, but the most important day will probably be Wednesday due to the FOMC adjournment and the 5-year Treasury Note auction. Thursday's 7-year Note sale is actually a little more important for mortgage rates than Wednesday's auction but the first of the two will give us an idea of what to expect from Thursday's sale. I don't believe any of this week's data has the potential to move the markets or mortgage rates heavily. But, we may some change in rates day-to-day, with the most likely coming mid-week.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Daily Rate Lock Advisory
Monday's bond market has opened in positive territory after this morning's sole economic report gave us a slightly lower than expected reading. The stock markets are mixed with the Dow down 30 points and the Nasdaq up 6 points. The bond market is currently up 12/32, but we will likely see little change in this morning's mortgage rates.
The Conference Board said late this morning that its Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) for August rose 0.6%, meaning that it is predicting moderate to rapid growth in economic activity over the next few months, but at a slightly slower pace than analysts had thought. This is basically good news for bonds, but an upward revision to July's reading offset this news. Besides, this data is considered to be only moderately important and a wide variance would have been needed to really influence trading and mortgage rates.
The rest of the week brings us the release of four more relevant economic reports in addition to an other FOMC meeting and two important Treasury auctions. None of the factual reports are considered to be highly important. In fact, most of the economic news is considered to be only moderately important. This should help limit the possibility of significant changes to mortgage rates most days this week.
There is relevant economic data scheduled for release tomorrow. The first of this week's two important Treasury sales will take place Wednesday and the Fed's two-day FOMC meeting will adjourn Wednesday afternoon. The Treasury will sell 5-year Notes Wednesday and 7-year Notes Thursday. If investor demand in these sales is strong, particularly from international buyers, the broader bond market should move higher pushing mortgage rates lower. But a lackluster interest from investors could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage pricing. The results of each sale will be announced at 1:00 PM ET each day, so any reaction to the results will come during afternoon tr ading Wednesday and Thursday.
The FOMC meeting will begin tomorrow and adjourn at 2:15 PM Wednesday. There is little possibility of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to find when the Fed's next move may come. The wild card is how the markets react to the statement because the lack of a change to monetary policy will not affect the markets. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mortgage rates Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning.
Overall, the single most important report of the week is Friday's Durable Goods Orders, but the most important day will probably be Wednesday due to the FOMC adjournment and the 5-year Treasury Note auction. Thursday's 7-year Note sale is actually a little more important for mortgage rates than Wednesday's auction but the first of the two will give us an idea of what to expect from Thursday's sale. I don't believe any of this week's data has the potential to move the markets or mortgage rates heavily. But, we may some change in rates day-to-day, with the most likely coming mid-week.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
The Conference Board said late this morning that its Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) for August rose 0.6%, meaning that it is predicting moderate to rapid growth in economic activity over the next few months, but at a slightly slower pace than analysts had thought. This is basically good news for bonds, but an upward revision to July's reading offset this news. Besides, this data is considered to be only moderately important and a wide variance would have been needed to really influence trading and mortgage rates.
The rest of the week brings us the release of four more relevant economic reports in addition to an other FOMC meeting and two important Treasury auctions. None of the factual reports are considered to be highly important. In fact, most of the economic news is considered to be only moderately important. This should help limit the possibility of significant changes to mortgage rates most days this week.
There is relevant economic data scheduled for release tomorrow. The first of this week's two important Treasury sales will take place Wednesday and the Fed's two-day FOMC meeting will adjourn Wednesday afternoon. The Treasury will sell 5-year Notes Wednesday and 7-year Notes Thursday. If investor demand in these sales is strong, particularly from international buyers, the broader bond market should move higher pushing mortgage rates lower. But a lackluster interest from investors could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage pricing. The results of each sale will be announced at 1:00 PM ET each day, so any reaction to the results will come during afternoon tr ading Wednesday and Thursday.
The FOMC meeting will begin tomorrow and adjourn at 2:15 PM Wednesday. There is little possibility of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to find when the Fed's next move may come. The wild card is how the markets react to the statement because the lack of a change to monetary policy will not affect the markets. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mortgage rates Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning.
Overall, the single most important report of the week is Friday's Durable Goods Orders, but the most important day will probably be Wednesday due to the FOMC adjournment and the 5-year Treasury Note auction. Thursday's 7-year Note sale is actually a little more important for mortgage rates than Wednesday's auction but the first of the two will give us an idea of what to expect from Thursday's sale. I don't believe any of this week's data has the potential to move the markets or mortgage rates heavily. But, we may some change in rates day-to-day, with the most likely coming mid-week.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Daily Rate Lock Advisory Weekly Watch 9/21/2009
This week brings us the release of five relevant economic reports in addition to another FOMC meeting and two important Treasury auctions. None of the factual reports are considered to be highly important. In fact, most of the economic news is considered to be only moderately important. This should help limit the possibility of significant changes to mortgage rates most days this week.
Unlike many Mondays, there is relevant data being posted tomorrow. The Conference Board will release its Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) for August late tomorrow morning. This index attempts to measure economic activity over the next three to six months. It is expected to show a 0.7% rise, meaning that it is predicting a sizable increase in economic activity over the next several months. A larger than expected reading would be considered bad news for bonds and could lead to a minor increase in mortgage rates tomorrow.
There is nothing of importance scheduled for release Tuesday, but the first of this week's two important Treasury sales will take place Wednesday and the Fed's two-day FOMC meeting will adjourn Wednesday afternoon. The Treasury will sell 5-year Notes Wednesday and 7-year Notes Thursday. If investor demand in these sales is strong, particularly from international buyers, the broader bond market should move higher pushing mortgage rates lower. But a lackluster interest from investors could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage pricing. The results of each sale will be announced at 1:00 PM ET each day, so any reaction to the results will come during afternoon trading Wednesday and Thursday.
The FOMC meeting will begin Tuesday and adjourn at 2:15 PM Wednesday. There is little possibility of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to fi nd when the Fed's next move may come. The wild card is how the markets react to the statement because the lack of a change to monetary policy will not affect the markets. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mortgage rates Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning.
August's Existing Home Sales report will be released late Thursday morning. The National Association of Realtors posts this data, giving us an indication of housing sector strength by tracking home resales in the U.S. It is expected to show a moderate increase from July's sales, however, this data is not considered to be of high importance to the bond market unless it varies greatly from forecasts.
The remaining three reports will all be released Friday morning. August's Durable Goods Orders will be posted early morning. This report gives us an indication of manufacturing sector strength by tracking orders for big-ticket items at U.S. factories. Current forecasts call for an increase in orders of 0.3%. A smaller than expected increase could help bond prices and cause mortgage rates to drop Friday. However, a larger than expected rise would indicate a stronger than expected manufacturing sector and would likely help push mortgage rates higher.
The second report is the University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment. This is the revised reading for September. The preliminary reading that was released earlier this month revealed a 70.2 reading. Analysts are expecting to see a small upward revision, meaning consumer confidence was slightly higher than previously thought. A lower than expected reading would be good news for bonds and help improve mortgage rates Friday morning.
The final report of the week is August's New Home Sales. It is expected to show that sales of newly constructed homes rose slightly in August. As with most of this week's data, this report will likely not have a significant impact on mortgage rates unless its readings differ greatly from forecasts.
Overall, the single most important report of the week is Friday's Durable Goods Orders, but the most important day will probably be Wednesday due to the FOMC adjournment and the 5-year Treasury Note auction. Thursday's 7-year Note sale is actually a little more important for mortgage rates than Wednesday's auction but the first of the two will give us an idea of what to expect from Thursday's sale. I don't believe any of this week's data has the potential to move the markets or mortgage rates heavily. But, we may some change in rates day-to-day, with the most likely coming mid-week.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was tak ing place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Unlike many Mondays, there is relevant data being posted tomorrow. The Conference Board will release its Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) for August late tomorrow morning. This index attempts to measure economic activity over the next three to six months. It is expected to show a 0.7% rise, meaning that it is predicting a sizable increase in economic activity over the next several months. A larger than expected reading would be considered bad news for bonds and could lead to a minor increase in mortgage rates tomorrow.
There is nothing of importance scheduled for release Tuesday, but the first of this week's two important Treasury sales will take place Wednesday and the Fed's two-day FOMC meeting will adjourn Wednesday afternoon. The Treasury will sell 5-year Notes Wednesday and 7-year Notes Thursday. If investor demand in these sales is strong, particularly from international buyers, the broader bond market should move higher pushing mortgage rates lower. But a lackluster interest from investors could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage pricing. The results of each sale will be announced at 1:00 PM ET each day, so any reaction to the results will come during afternoon trading Wednesday and Thursday.
The FOMC meeting will begin Tuesday and adjourn at 2:15 PM Wednesday. There is little possibility of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to fi nd when the Fed's next move may come. The wild card is how the markets react to the statement because the lack of a change to monetary policy will not affect the markets. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mortgage rates Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning.
August's Existing Home Sales report will be released late Thursday morning. The National Association of Realtors posts this data, giving us an indication of housing sector strength by tracking home resales in the U.S. It is expected to show a moderate increase from July's sales, however, this data is not considered to be of high importance to the bond market unless it varies greatly from forecasts.
The remaining three reports will all be released Friday morning. August's Durable Goods Orders will be posted early morning. This report gives us an indication of manufacturing sector strength by tracking orders for big-ticket items at U.S. factories. Current forecasts call for an increase in orders of 0.3%. A smaller than expected increase could help bond prices and cause mortgage rates to drop Friday. However, a larger than expected rise would indicate a stronger than expected manufacturing sector and would likely help push mortgage rates higher.
The second report is the University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment. This is the revised reading for September. The preliminary reading that was released earlier this month revealed a 70.2 reading. Analysts are expecting to see a small upward revision, meaning consumer confidence was slightly higher than previously thought. A lower than expected reading would be good news for bonds and help improve mortgage rates Friday morning.
The final report of the week is August's New Home Sales. It is expected to show that sales of newly constructed homes rose slightly in August. As with most of this week's data, this report will likely not have a significant impact on mortgage rates unless its readings differ greatly from forecasts.
Overall, the single most important report of the week is Friday's Durable Goods Orders, but the most important day will probably be Wednesday due to the FOMC adjournment and the 5-year Treasury Note auction. Thursday's 7-year Note sale is actually a little more important for mortgage rates than Wednesday's auction but the first of the two will give us an idea of what to expect from Thursday's sale. I don't believe any of this week's data has the potential to move the markets or mortgage rates heavily. But, we may some change in rates day-to-day, with the most likely coming mid-week.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was tak ing place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Daily Rate Lock Advisory Weekly Watch 9/21/2009
This week brings us the release of five relevant economic reports in addition to another FOMC meeting and two important Treasury auctions. None of the factual reports are considered to be highly important. In fact, most of the economic news is considered to be only moderately important. This should help limit the possibility of significant changes to mortgage rates most days this week.
Unlike many Mondays, there is relevant data being posted tomorrow. The Conference Board will release its Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) for August late tomorrow morning. This index attempts to measure economic activity over the next three to six months. It is expected to show a 0.7% rise, meaning that it is predicting a sizable increase in economic activity over the next several months. A larger than expected reading would be considered bad news for bonds and could lead to a minor increase in mortgage rates tomorrow.
There is nothing of importance scheduled for release Tuesday, but the first of this week's two important Treasury sales will take place Wednesday and the Fed's two-day FOMC meeting will adjourn Wednesday afternoon. The Treasury will sell 5-year Notes Wednesday and 7-year Notes Thursday. If investor demand in these sales is strong, particularly from international buyers, the broader bond market should move higher pushing mortgage rates lower. But a lackluster interest from investors could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage pricing. The results of each sale will be announced at 1:00 PM ET each day, so any reaction to the results will come during afternoon trading Wednesday and Thursday.
The FOMC meeting will begin Tuesday and adjourn at 2:15 PM Wednesday. There is little possibility of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to fi nd when the Fed's next move may come. The wild card is how the markets react to the statement because the lack of a change to monetary policy will not affect the markets. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mortgage rates Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning.
August's Existing Home Sales report will be released late Thursday morning. The National Association of Realtors posts this data, giving us an indication of housing sector strength by tracking home resales in the U.S. It is expected to show a moderate increase from July's sales, however, this data is not considered to be of high importance to the bond market unless it varies greatly from forecasts.
The remaining three reports will all be released Friday morning. August's Durable Goods Orders will be posted early morning. This report gives us an indication of manufacturing sector strength by tracking orders for big-ticket items at U.S. factories. Current forecasts call for an increase in orders of 0.3%. A smaller than expected increase could help bond prices and cause mortgage rates to drop Friday. However, a larger than expected rise would indicate a stronger than expected manufacturing sector and would likely help push mortgage rates higher.
The second report is the University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment. This is the revised reading for September. The preliminary reading that was released earlier this month revealed a 70.2 reading. Analysts are expecting to see a small upward revision, meaning consumer confidence was slightly higher than previously thought. A lower than expected reading would be good news for bonds and help improve mortgage rates Friday morning.
The final report of the week is August's New Home Sales. It is expected to show that sales of newly constructed homes rose slightly in August. As with most of this week's data, this report will likely not have a significant impact on mortgage rates unless its readings differ greatly from forecasts.
Overall, the single most important report of the week is Friday's Durable Goods Orders, but the most important day will probably be Wednesday due to the FOMC adjournment and the 5-year Treasury Note auction. Thursday's 7-year Note sale is actually a little more important for mortgage rates than Wednesday's auction but the first of the two will give us an idea of what to expect from Thursday's sale. I don't believe any of this week's data has the potential to move the markets or mortgage rates heavily. But, we may some change in rates day-to-day, with the most likely coming mid-week.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was tak ing place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Unlike many Mondays, there is relevant data being posted tomorrow. The Conference Board will release its Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) for August late tomorrow morning. This index attempts to measure economic activity over the next three to six months. It is expected to show a 0.7% rise, meaning that it is predicting a sizable increase in economic activity over the next several months. A larger than expected reading would be considered bad news for bonds and could lead to a minor increase in mortgage rates tomorrow.
There is nothing of importance scheduled for release Tuesday, but the first of this week's two important Treasury sales will take place Wednesday and the Fed's two-day FOMC meeting will adjourn Wednesday afternoon. The Treasury will sell 5-year Notes Wednesday and 7-year Notes Thursday. If investor demand in these sales is strong, particularly from international buyers, the broader bond market should move higher pushing mortgage rates lower. But a lackluster interest from investors could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage pricing. The results of each sale will be announced at 1:00 PM ET each day, so any reaction to the results will come during afternoon trading Wednesday and Thursday.
The FOMC meeting will begin Tuesday and adjourn at 2:15 PM Wednesday. There is little possibility of seeing any type of change to key short-term interest rates. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to fi nd when the Fed's next move may come. The wild card is how the markets react to the statement because the lack of a change to monetary policy will not affect the markets. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mortgage rates Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning.
August's Existing Home Sales report will be released late Thursday morning. The National Association of Realtors posts this data, giving us an indication of housing sector strength by tracking home resales in the U.S. It is expected to show a moderate increase from July's sales, however, this data is not considered to be of high importance to the bond market unless it varies greatly from forecasts.
The remaining three reports will all be released Friday morning. August's Durable Goods Orders will be posted early morning. This report gives us an indication of manufacturing sector strength by tracking orders for big-ticket items at U.S. factories. Current forecasts call for an increase in orders of 0.3%. A smaller than expected increase could help bond prices and cause mortgage rates to drop Friday. However, a larger than expected rise would indicate a stronger than expected manufacturing sector and would likely help push mortgage rates higher.
The second report is the University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment. This is the revised reading for September. The preliminary reading that was released earlier this month revealed a 70.2 reading. Analysts are expecting to see a small upward revision, meaning consumer confidence was slightly higher than previously thought. A lower than expected reading would be good news for bonds and help improve mortgage rates Friday morning.
The final report of the week is August's New Home Sales. It is expected to show that sales of newly constructed homes rose slightly in August. As with most of this week's data, this report will likely not have a significant impact on mortgage rates unless its readings differ greatly from forecasts.
Overall, the single most important report of the week is Friday's Durable Goods Orders, but the most important day will probably be Wednesday due to the FOMC adjournment and the 5-year Treasury Note auction. Thursday's 7-year Note sale is actually a little more important for mortgage rates than Wednesday's auction but the first of the two will give us an idea of what to expect from Thursday's sale. I don't believe any of this week's data has the potential to move the markets or mortgage rates heavily. But, we may some change in rates day-to-day, with the most likely coming mid-week.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was tak ing place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Daily Rate Lock Advisory 9/15/2009
Daily Rate Lock Advisory 9/15/2009
Tuesday's bond market initially opened well in negative territory after this morning's economic data revealed stronger than expected results but has since recovered a good portion of those losses. The stock markets are showing minor gains with the Dow up 4 points and the Nasdaq up 6 points. The bond market is currently down 3/32, but well above earlier levels. This will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount point.
The Commerce Department announced this morning that sales at retail level establishments rose 2.7% last month, greatly exceeding analysts' forecasts of a 1.9% increase. Even when volatile auto transactions are excluded, sales were well above forecasts. This means that consumers spent much more last month than many had thought. That is bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy.
The second important piece of data posted this mor ning also did not due much good for bonds. The Labor Department reported that August's Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 1.7%, more than twice the increase that was expected. The more important core data reading that excludes more volatile food and energy prices came in up 0.2% when it was expected to rise 0.1%. This means that prices at the producer level of the economy rose more rapidly than analysts had thought. That is also bad news for bonds because rising inflation erodes the value of a bond's future fixed interest payments and makes them less appealing to investors. The result of rising inflation is usually higher mortgage rates. In addition, today's PPI reading raises concern about tomorrow's CPI report that is even more important than this morning's release.
August's Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released early tomorrow morning. The CPI is one of the most important reports we see each and every month. It is the sister report of today's PPI and is considered to be a key indicator of inflation at the consumer level of the economy. As with the PPI, there are two readings in the report- the overall index and the core data reading. Current forecasts are calling for a 0.3% increase in the overall reading and a 0.1% rise in the core data reading. A larger increase in the core data would likely lead to higher mortgage rates tomorrow morning.
Also scheduled for tomorrow morning is August's Industrial Production data. This report gives us a measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. It is considered to be moderately important but could help change mortgage rates if there is a significant difference between forecasts and the actual reading. Analysts are currently expecting to see a 0.7% increase in production. A higher level of output could lead to higher mortgage rates, while a weaker than expected figure would be considered good news for bonds and rates .
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Tuesday's bond market initially opened well in negative territory after this morning's economic data revealed stronger than expected results but has since recovered a good portion of those losses. The stock markets are showing minor gains with the Dow up 4 points and the Nasdaq up 6 points. The bond market is currently down 3/32, but well above earlier levels. This will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount point.
The Commerce Department announced this morning that sales at retail level establishments rose 2.7% last month, greatly exceeding analysts' forecasts of a 1.9% increase. Even when volatile auto transactions are excluded, sales were well above forecasts. This means that consumers spent much more last month than many had thought. That is bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy.
The second important piece of data posted this mor ning also did not due much good for bonds. The Labor Department reported that August's Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 1.7%, more than twice the increase that was expected. The more important core data reading that excludes more volatile food and energy prices came in up 0.2% when it was expected to rise 0.1%. This means that prices at the producer level of the economy rose more rapidly than analysts had thought. That is also bad news for bonds because rising inflation erodes the value of a bond's future fixed interest payments and makes them less appealing to investors. The result of rising inflation is usually higher mortgage rates. In addition, today's PPI reading raises concern about tomorrow's CPI report that is even more important than this morning's release.
August's Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released early tomorrow morning. The CPI is one of the most important reports we see each and every month. It is the sister report of today's PPI and is considered to be a key indicator of inflation at the consumer level of the economy. As with the PPI, there are two readings in the report- the overall index and the core data reading. Current forecasts are calling for a 0.3% increase in the overall reading and a 0.1% rise in the core data reading. A larger increase in the core data would likely lead to higher mortgage rates tomorrow morning.
Also scheduled for tomorrow morning is August's Industrial Production data. This report gives us a measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. It is considered to be moderately important but could help change mortgage rates if there is a significant difference between forecasts and the actual reading. Analysts are currently expecting to see a 0.7% increase in production. A higher level of output could lead to higher mortgage rates, while a weaker than expected figure would be considered good news for bonds and rates .
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Daily Rate Lock Advisory 9/15/2009
Daily Rate Lock Advisory 9/15/2009
Tuesday's bond market initially opened well in negative territory after this morning's economic data revealed stronger than expected results but has since recovered a good portion of those losses. The stock markets are showing minor gains with the Dow up 4 points and the Nasdaq up 6 points. The bond market is currently down 3/32, but well above earlier levels. This will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount point.
The Commerce Department announced this morning that sales at retail level establishments rose 2.7% last month, greatly exceeding analysts' forecasts of a 1.9% increase. Even when volatile auto transactions are excluded, sales were well above forecasts. This means that consumers spent much more last month than many had thought. That is bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy.
The second important piece of data posted this mor ning also did not due much good for bonds. The Labor Department reported that August's Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 1.7%, more than twice the increase that was expected. The more important core data reading that excludes more volatile food and energy prices came in up 0.2% when it was expected to rise 0.1%. This means that prices at the producer level of the economy rose more rapidly than analysts had thought. That is also bad news for bonds because rising inflation erodes the value of a bond's future fixed interest payments and makes them less appealing to investors. The result of rising inflation is usually higher mortgage rates. In addition, today's PPI reading raises concern about tomorrow's CPI report that is even more important than this morning's release.
August's Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released early tomorrow morning. The CPI is one of the most important reports we see each and every month. It is the sister report of today's PPI and is considered to be a key indicator of inflation at the consumer level of the economy. As with the PPI, there are two readings in the report- the overall index and the core data reading. Current forecasts are calling for a 0.3% increase in the overall reading and a 0.1% rise in the core data reading. A larger increase in the core data would likely lead to higher mortgage rates tomorrow morning.
Also scheduled for tomorrow morning is August's Industrial Production data. This report gives us a measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. It is considered to be moderately important but could help change mortgage rates if there is a significant difference between forecasts and the actual reading. Analysts are currently expecting to see a 0.7% increase in production. A higher level of output could lead to higher mortgage rates, while a weaker than expected figure would be considered good news for bonds and rates .
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Tuesday's bond market initially opened well in negative territory after this morning's economic data revealed stronger than expected results but has since recovered a good portion of those losses. The stock markets are showing minor gains with the Dow up 4 points and the Nasdaq up 6 points. The bond market is currently down 3/32, but well above earlier levels. This will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount point.
The Commerce Department announced this morning that sales at retail level establishments rose 2.7% last month, greatly exceeding analysts' forecasts of a 1.9% increase. Even when volatile auto transactions are excluded, sales were well above forecasts. This means that consumers spent much more last month than many had thought. That is bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy.
The second important piece of data posted this mor ning also did not due much good for bonds. The Labor Department reported that August's Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 1.7%, more than twice the increase that was expected. The more important core data reading that excludes more volatile food and energy prices came in up 0.2% when it was expected to rise 0.1%. This means that prices at the producer level of the economy rose more rapidly than analysts had thought. That is also bad news for bonds because rising inflation erodes the value of a bond's future fixed interest payments and makes them less appealing to investors. The result of rising inflation is usually higher mortgage rates. In addition, today's PPI reading raises concern about tomorrow's CPI report that is even more important than this morning's release.
August's Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released early tomorrow morning. The CPI is one of the most important reports we see each and every month. It is the sister report of today's PPI and is considered to be a key indicator of inflation at the consumer level of the economy. As with the PPI, there are two readings in the report- the overall index and the core data reading. Current forecasts are calling for a 0.3% increase in the overall reading and a 0.1% rise in the core data reading. A larger increase in the core data would likely lead to higher mortgage rates tomorrow morning.
Also scheduled for tomorrow morning is August's Industrial Production data. This report gives us a measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. It is considered to be moderately important but could help change mortgage rates if there is a significant difference between forecasts and the actual reading. Analysts are currently expecting to see a 0.7% increase in production. A higher level of output could lead to higher mortgage rates, while a weaker than expected figure would be considered good news for bonds and rates .
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Daily Rate Lock Advisory 9/14/2009
Daily Rate Lock Advisory 9/14/2009
Monday's bond market has opened in negative territory despite a flat morning in stocks and no economic data on today's calendar. The stock markets are calm with the Dow down 8 points and the Nasdaq nearly unchanged from Friday's close. The bond market is currently down 8/32, which will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount point.
This week brings us the release of five relevant economic reports that may influence mortgage rates, but none of them are scheduled for release today. A couple of the reports are considered to be highly important to the financial and mortgage markets, meaning that we may see significant changes to rates this week. There is a very good chance of seeing noticeable changes in rates at least one day, if not several days this week.
There are two highly important reports being released early tomorrow morning. The first is the release of August's Retail Sales report. It will giv e us a measurement of consumer spending, which is very important to the markets because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Current forecasts are calling for a 1.9% increase in sales. The sizable jump is expected to come from auto sales that were fueled by the Cash For Clunkers program. Analysts are calling for a 0.4% rise in sales if auto sales are excluded. A larger than expected increase would be considered bad news for bonds and likely lead to an increase in mortgage pricing tomorrow.
The second important piece of data is the release of August's Producer Price Index (PPI), also being posted early tomorrow morning. This report will give us a very important measurement of inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. There are two readings that analysts follow in this release. They are the overall index and the core data reading. The core data is the more important of the two because it excludes more volatile food and ene rgy prices. Analysts are currently predicting a 08% increase in the overall index, and a rise of 0.1% in the core data. Stronger than expected readings could fuel inflation concerns in the bond market and lead to an increase in mortgage rates tomorrow morning. Both of the day's reports are considered to be extremely important to the markets and mortgage rates.
Overall, I think we need to label tomorrow as the most important day of the week with the Retail Sales and PPI reports both being posted that day. However, Wednesday's CPI release is also extremely important to the markets, so Wednesday cannot be ignored either. We could see a significant change to rates this week if the major reports vary greatly from forecasts.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 da ys... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Monday's bond market has opened in negative territory despite a flat morning in stocks and no economic data on today's calendar. The stock markets are calm with the Dow down 8 points and the Nasdaq nearly unchanged from Friday's close. The bond market is currently down 8/32, which will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount point.
This week brings us the release of five relevant economic reports that may influence mortgage rates, but none of them are scheduled for release today. A couple of the reports are considered to be highly important to the financial and mortgage markets, meaning that we may see significant changes to rates this week. There is a very good chance of seeing noticeable changes in rates at least one day, if not several days this week.
There are two highly important reports being released early tomorrow morning. The first is the release of August's Retail Sales report. It will giv e us a measurement of consumer spending, which is very important to the markets because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Current forecasts are calling for a 1.9% increase in sales. The sizable jump is expected to come from auto sales that were fueled by the Cash For Clunkers program. Analysts are calling for a 0.4% rise in sales if auto sales are excluded. A larger than expected increase would be considered bad news for bonds and likely lead to an increase in mortgage pricing tomorrow.
The second important piece of data is the release of August's Producer Price Index (PPI), also being posted early tomorrow morning. This report will give us a very important measurement of inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. There are two readings that analysts follow in this release. They are the overall index and the core data reading. The core data is the more important of the two because it excludes more volatile food and ene rgy prices. Analysts are currently predicting a 08% increase in the overall index, and a rise of 0.1% in the core data. Stronger than expected readings could fuel inflation concerns in the bond market and lead to an increase in mortgage rates tomorrow morning. Both of the day's reports are considered to be extremely important to the markets and mortgage rates.
Overall, I think we need to label tomorrow as the most important day of the week with the Retail Sales and PPI reports both being posted that day. However, Wednesday's CPI release is also extremely important to the markets, so Wednesday cannot be ignored either. We could see a significant change to rates this week if the major reports vary greatly from forecasts.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 da ys... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Daily Rate Lock Advisory 9/14/2009
Daily Rate Lock Advisory 9/14/2009
Monday's bond market has opened in negative territory despite a flat morning in stocks and no economic data on today's calendar. The stock markets are calm with the Dow down 8 points and the Nasdaq nearly unchanged from Friday's close. The bond market is currently down 8/32, which will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount point.
This week brings us the release of five relevant economic reports that may influence mortgage rates, but none of them are scheduled for release today. A couple of the reports are considered to be highly important to the financial and mortgage markets, meaning that we may see significant changes to rates this week. There is a very good chance of seeing noticeable changes in rates at least one day, if not several days this week.
There are two highly important reports being released early tomorrow morning. The first is the release of August's Retail Sales report. It will giv e us a measurement of consumer spending, which is very important to the markets because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Current forecasts are calling for a 1.9% increase in sales. The sizable jump is expected to come from auto sales that were fueled by the Cash For Clunkers program. Analysts are calling for a 0.4% rise in sales if auto sales are excluded. A larger than expected increase would be considered bad news for bonds and likely lead to an increase in mortgage pricing tomorrow.
The second important piece of data is the release of August's Producer Price Index (PPI), also being posted early tomorrow morning. This report will give us a very important measurement of inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. There are two readings that analysts follow in this release. They are the overall index and the core data reading. The core data is the more important of the two because it excludes more volatile food and ene rgy prices. Analysts are currently predicting a 08% increase in the overall index, and a rise of 0.1% in the core data. Stronger than expected readings could fuel inflation concerns in the bond market and lead to an increase in mortgage rates tomorrow morning. Both of the day's reports are considered to be extremely important to the markets and mortgage rates.
Overall, I think we need to label tomorrow as the most important day of the week with the Retail Sales and PPI reports both being posted that day. However, Wednesday's CPI release is also extremely important to the markets, so Wednesday cannot be ignored either. We could see a significant change to rates this week if the major reports vary greatly from forecasts.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 da ys... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Monday's bond market has opened in negative territory despite a flat morning in stocks and no economic data on today's calendar. The stock markets are calm with the Dow down 8 points and the Nasdaq nearly unchanged from Friday's close. The bond market is currently down 8/32, which will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount point.
This week brings us the release of five relevant economic reports that may influence mortgage rates, but none of them are scheduled for release today. A couple of the reports are considered to be highly important to the financial and mortgage markets, meaning that we may see significant changes to rates this week. There is a very good chance of seeing noticeable changes in rates at least one day, if not several days this week.
There are two highly important reports being released early tomorrow morning. The first is the release of August's Retail Sales report. It will giv e us a measurement of consumer spending, which is very important to the markets because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Current forecasts are calling for a 1.9% increase in sales. The sizable jump is expected to come from auto sales that were fueled by the Cash For Clunkers program. Analysts are calling for a 0.4% rise in sales if auto sales are excluded. A larger than expected increase would be considered bad news for bonds and likely lead to an increase in mortgage pricing tomorrow.
The second important piece of data is the release of August's Producer Price Index (PPI), also being posted early tomorrow morning. This report will give us a very important measurement of inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. There are two readings that analysts follow in this release. They are the overall index and the core data reading. The core data is the more important of the two because it excludes more volatile food and ene rgy prices. Analysts are currently predicting a 08% increase in the overall index, and a rise of 0.1% in the core data. Stronger than expected readings could fuel inflation concerns in the bond market and lead to an increase in mortgage rates tomorrow morning. Both of the day's reports are considered to be extremely important to the markets and mortgage rates.
Overall, I think we need to label tomorrow as the most important day of the week with the Retail Sales and PPI reports both being posted that day. However, Wednesday's CPI release is also extremely important to the markets, so Wednesday cannot be ignored either. We could see a significant change to rates this week if the major reports vary greatly from forecasts.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 da ys... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Monday, September 14, 2009
Mortgage Rate Weekly Watch 9/14/2009
Mortgage Rate Weekly Watch 9/14/2009 for Virginia, Central Virginia, and Charlottesville. What to expect for the upcoming week.
This week brings us the release of five relevant economic reports that may influence mortgage rates. A couple of these reports are considered to be highly important to the financial and mortgage markets, meaning that we may see significant changes to rates this week. There is a very good chance of seeing noticeable changes in rates at least one day, if not several days this week. There is no relevant news scheduled to be posted tomorrow, so look for the stock markets to be the biggest force behind bond trading and changes to mortgage rates until we get to the data releases.
There are two highly important reports scheduled to be posted early Tuesday morning. The first is the release of August's Retail Sales report. It will give us a measurement of consumer spending, which is very important to the markets because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Current forecasts are calling for a 1.9% increase in sales. The sizable jump is expected to come from auto sales that were fueled by the Cash For Clunkers program. Analysts are calling for a 0.4% rise in sales if auto sales are excluded. A larger than expected increase would be considered bad news for bonds and likely lead to an increase in mortgage pricing.
The second important piece of data Tuesday morning is the release of August's Producer Price Index (PPI). This report will give us a very important measurement of inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. There are two readings that analysts follow in this release. They are the overall index and the core data reading. The core data is the more important of the two because it excludes more volatile food and energy prices. Analysts are currently predicting a 08% increase in the overall index, and a rise of 0.1% in the core data. Stronger than expected readings could fuel inflation concerns in the bond market and lead to an increase in mortgage rates Tuesday morning. Both of th e day's reports are considered to be extremely important to the markets and mortgage rates.
August's Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released Wednesday morning. The CPI is one of the most important reports we see each and every month. It is considered to be a key indicator of inflation at the consumer level of the economy. As with its sister PPI report, there are two readings in the report- the overall index and the core data reading. Current forecasts are calling for a 0.3% increase in the overall reading and a 0.1% rise in the core data reading. A larger increase in the core data would likely lead to higher mortgage rates Wednesday morning.
Also scheduled for Wednesday morning is August's Industrial Production data. This report gives us a measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. It is considered to be moderately important but could help change mortgage rates if there is a significant difference between forecasts and the actual reading. Analysts are currently expecting to see a 0.7% increase in production. A higher level of output could lead to higher mortgage rates, while a weaker than expected figure would be considered good news for bonds and rates.
August's Housing Starts report will be posted early Thursday morning. This report will probably not have much of an impact on the bond market or mortgage rates. It gives us a measurement of housing sector strength and mortgage credit demand, but is usually considered to be of low importance to the financial markets. It is expected to show little change between July's and August's starts.
Overall, I think we need to label Tuesday as the most important day of the week with the Retail Sales and PPI reports both being posted that day. However, Wednesday's CPI release is also extremely important to the markets, so Wednesday cannot be ignored either. Monday or Friday wil l probably end up being the calmest days, but we still may see minor changes to rates those days. But we could see a significant change to rates this week if the major reports vary greatly from forecasts.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
This week brings us the release of five relevant economic reports that may influence mortgage rates. A couple of these reports are considered to be highly important to the financial and mortgage markets, meaning that we may see significant changes to rates this week. There is a very good chance of seeing noticeable changes in rates at least one day, if not several days this week. There is no relevant news scheduled to be posted tomorrow, so look for the stock markets to be the biggest force behind bond trading and changes to mortgage rates until we get to the data releases.
There are two highly important reports scheduled to be posted early Tuesday morning. The first is the release of August's Retail Sales report. It will give us a measurement of consumer spending, which is very important to the markets because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Current forecasts are calling for a 1.9% increase in sales. The sizable jump is expected to come from auto sales that were fueled by the Cash For Clunkers program. Analysts are calling for a 0.4% rise in sales if auto sales are excluded. A larger than expected increase would be considered bad news for bonds and likely lead to an increase in mortgage pricing.
The second important piece of data Tuesday morning is the release of August's Producer Price Index (PPI). This report will give us a very important measurement of inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. There are two readings that analysts follow in this release. They are the overall index and the core data reading. The core data is the more important of the two because it excludes more volatile food and energy prices. Analysts are currently predicting a 08% increase in the overall index, and a rise of 0.1% in the core data. Stronger than expected readings could fuel inflation concerns in the bond market and lead to an increase in mortgage rates Tuesday morning. Both of th e day's reports are considered to be extremely important to the markets and mortgage rates.
August's Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released Wednesday morning. The CPI is one of the most important reports we see each and every month. It is considered to be a key indicator of inflation at the consumer level of the economy. As with its sister PPI report, there are two readings in the report- the overall index and the core data reading. Current forecasts are calling for a 0.3% increase in the overall reading and a 0.1% rise in the core data reading. A larger increase in the core data would likely lead to higher mortgage rates Wednesday morning.
Also scheduled for Wednesday morning is August's Industrial Production data. This report gives us a measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. It is considered to be moderately important but could help change mortgage rates if there is a significant difference between forecasts and the actual reading. Analysts are currently expecting to see a 0.7% increase in production. A higher level of output could lead to higher mortgage rates, while a weaker than expected figure would be considered good news for bonds and rates.
August's Housing Starts report will be posted early Thursday morning. This report will probably not have much of an impact on the bond market or mortgage rates. It gives us a measurement of housing sector strength and mortgage credit demand, but is usually considered to be of low importance to the financial markets. It is expected to show little change between July's and August's starts.
Overall, I think we need to label Tuesday as the most important day of the week with the Retail Sales and PPI reports both being posted that day. However, Wednesday's CPI release is also extremely important to the markets, so Wednesday cannot be ignored either. Monday or Friday wil l probably end up being the calmest days, but we still may see minor changes to rates those days. But we could see a significant change to rates this week if the major reports vary greatly from forecasts.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Mortgage Rate Weekly Watch 9/14/2009
Mortgage Rate Weekly Watch 9/14/2009 for Virginia, Central Virginia, and Charlottesville. What to expect for the upcoming week.
This week brings us the release of five relevant economic reports that may influence mortgage rates. A couple of these reports are considered to be highly important to the financial and mortgage markets, meaning that we may see significant changes to rates this week. There is a very good chance of seeing noticeable changes in rates at least one day, if not several days this week. There is no relevant news scheduled to be posted tomorrow, so look for the stock markets to be the biggest force behind bond trading and changes to mortgage rates until we get to the data releases.
There are two highly important reports scheduled to be posted early Tuesday morning. The first is the release of August's Retail Sales report. It will give us a measurement of consumer spending, which is very important to the markets because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Current forecasts are calling for a 1.9% increase in sales. The sizable jump is expected to come from auto sales that were fueled by the Cash For Clunkers program. Analysts are calling for a 0.4% rise in sales if auto sales are excluded. A larger than expected increase would be considered bad news for bonds and likely lead to an increase in mortgage pricing.
The second important piece of data Tuesday morning is the release of August's Producer Price Index (PPI). This report will give us a very important measurement of inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. There are two readings that analysts follow in this release. They are the overall index and the core data reading. The core data is the more important of the two because it excludes more volatile food and energy prices. Analysts are currently predicting a 08% increase in the overall index, and a rise of 0.1% in the core data. Stronger than expected readings could fuel inflation concerns in the bond market and lead to an increase in mortgage rates Tuesday morning. Both of th e day's reports are considered to be extremely important to the markets and mortgage rates.
August's Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released Wednesday morning. The CPI is one of the most important reports we see each and every month. It is considered to be a key indicator of inflation at the consumer level of the economy. As with its sister PPI report, there are two readings in the report- the overall index and the core data reading. Current forecasts are calling for a 0.3% increase in the overall reading and a 0.1% rise in the core data reading. A larger increase in the core data would likely lead to higher mortgage rates Wednesday morning.
Also scheduled for Wednesday morning is August's Industrial Production data. This report gives us a measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. It is considered to be moderately important but could help change mortgage rates if there is a significant difference between forecasts and the actual reading. Analysts are currently expecting to see a 0.7% increase in production. A higher level of output could lead to higher mortgage rates, while a weaker than expected figure would be considered good news for bonds and rates.
August's Housing Starts report will be posted early Thursday morning. This report will probably not have much of an impact on the bond market or mortgage rates. It gives us a measurement of housing sector strength and mortgage credit demand, but is usually considered to be of low importance to the financial markets. It is expected to show little change between July's and August's starts.
Overall, I think we need to label Tuesday as the most important day of the week with the Retail Sales and PPI reports both being posted that day. However, Wednesday's CPI release is also extremely important to the markets, so Wednesday cannot be ignored either. Monday or Friday wil l probably end up being the calmest days, but we still may see minor changes to rates those days. But we could see a significant change to rates this week if the major reports vary greatly from forecasts.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
This week brings us the release of five relevant economic reports that may influence mortgage rates. A couple of these reports are considered to be highly important to the financial and mortgage markets, meaning that we may see significant changes to rates this week. There is a very good chance of seeing noticeable changes in rates at least one day, if not several days this week. There is no relevant news scheduled to be posted tomorrow, so look for the stock markets to be the biggest force behind bond trading and changes to mortgage rates until we get to the data releases.
There are two highly important reports scheduled to be posted early Tuesday morning. The first is the release of August's Retail Sales report. It will give us a measurement of consumer spending, which is very important to the markets because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Current forecasts are calling for a 1.9% increase in sales. The sizable jump is expected to come from auto sales that were fueled by the Cash For Clunkers program. Analysts are calling for a 0.4% rise in sales if auto sales are excluded. A larger than expected increase would be considered bad news for bonds and likely lead to an increase in mortgage pricing.
The second important piece of data Tuesday morning is the release of August's Producer Price Index (PPI). This report will give us a very important measurement of inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. There are two readings that analysts follow in this release. They are the overall index and the core data reading. The core data is the more important of the two because it excludes more volatile food and energy prices. Analysts are currently predicting a 08% increase in the overall index, and a rise of 0.1% in the core data. Stronger than expected readings could fuel inflation concerns in the bond market and lead to an increase in mortgage rates Tuesday morning. Both of th e day's reports are considered to be extremely important to the markets and mortgage rates.
August's Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released Wednesday morning. The CPI is one of the most important reports we see each and every month. It is considered to be a key indicator of inflation at the consumer level of the economy. As with its sister PPI report, there are two readings in the report- the overall index and the core data reading. Current forecasts are calling for a 0.3% increase in the overall reading and a 0.1% rise in the core data reading. A larger increase in the core data would likely lead to higher mortgage rates Wednesday morning.
Also scheduled for Wednesday morning is August's Industrial Production data. This report gives us a measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. It is considered to be moderately important but could help change mortgage rates if there is a significant difference between forecasts and the actual reading. Analysts are currently expecting to see a 0.7% increase in production. A higher level of output could lead to higher mortgage rates, while a weaker than expected figure would be considered good news for bonds and rates.
August's Housing Starts report will be posted early Thursday morning. This report will probably not have much of an impact on the bond market or mortgage rates. It gives us a measurement of housing sector strength and mortgage credit demand, but is usually considered to be of low importance to the financial markets. It is expected to show little change between July's and August's starts.
Overall, I think we need to label Tuesday as the most important day of the week with the Retail Sales and PPI reports both being posted that day. However, Wednesday's CPI release is also extremely important to the markets, so Wednesday cannot be ignored either. Monday or Friday wil l probably end up being the calmest days, but we still may see minor changes to rates those days. But we could see a significant change to rates this week if the major reports vary greatly from forecasts.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Friday, September 11, 2009
Daily Rate Lock Recommendation
Daily Rate Lock Recommendation for the United States of America, Virginia, Central Virginia, and Charlottesville.
Friday's bond market has opened in positive territory despite stronger than expected economic news. The stock markets are showing minor losses with the Dow down 10 points and the Nasdaq down 1 point. The bond market is currently up 17/32, which should improve this morning's mortgage rates by approximately .250 of a discount point.
The University of Michigan posted their Index of Consumer Sentiment late this morning, announcing a reading of 70.2. This was a sizable increase from August's final reading and higher than what analysts had expected. This means that consumers are more optimistic about their own financial situations than many had thought. That can be considered bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because it hints that consumers are more apt to make large purchases in the near future. However, it appears the data is of no concern to traders this morning.
This morning's bond gains can partly be attributed to a good auction yesterday o f 30-year Bonds. The results of the sale indicate that investors still have an appetite for U.S. securities. This has helped boost long-term securities such as mortgage-related bonds.
Next week brings us the release of several important reports including two key inflation readings and an extremely important measurement of consumer spending. None of the relevant reports are scheduled for release Monday, so I am expecting stock prices to heavily influence bond trading and mortgage rates until we get to the week's data. Look for more details on next week's events in Sunday's weekly preview.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Friday's bond market has opened in positive territory despite stronger than expected economic news. The stock markets are showing minor losses with the Dow down 10 points and the Nasdaq down 1 point. The bond market is currently up 17/32, which should improve this morning's mortgage rates by approximately .250 of a discount point.
The University of Michigan posted their Index of Consumer Sentiment late this morning, announcing a reading of 70.2. This was a sizable increase from August's final reading and higher than what analysts had expected. This means that consumers are more optimistic about their own financial situations than many had thought. That can be considered bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because it hints that consumers are more apt to make large purchases in the near future. However, it appears the data is of no concern to traders this morning.
This morning's bond gains can partly be attributed to a good auction yesterday o f 30-year Bonds. The results of the sale indicate that investors still have an appetite for U.S. securities. This has helped boost long-term securities such as mortgage-related bonds.
Next week brings us the release of several important reports including two key inflation readings and an extremely important measurement of consumer spending. None of the relevant reports are scheduled for release Monday, so I am expecting stock prices to heavily influence bond trading and mortgage rates until we get to the week's data. Look for more details on next week's events in Sunday's weekly preview.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Daily Rate Lock Recommendation
Daily Rate Lock Recommendation for the United States of America, Virginia, Central Virginia, and Charlottesville.
Friday's bond market has opened in positive territory despite stronger than expected economic news. The stock markets are showing minor losses with the Dow down 10 points and the Nasdaq down 1 point. The bond market is currently up 17/32, which should improve this morning's mortgage rates by approximately .250 of a discount point.
The University of Michigan posted their Index of Consumer Sentiment late this morning, announcing a reading of 70.2. This was a sizable increase from August's final reading and higher than what analysts had expected. This means that consumers are more optimistic about their own financial situations than many had thought. That can be considered bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because it hints that consumers are more apt to make large purchases in the near future. However, it appears the data is of no concern to traders this morning.
This morning's bond gains can partly be attributed to a good auction yesterday o f 30-year Bonds. The results of the sale indicate that investors still have an appetite for U.S. securities. This has helped boost long-term securities such as mortgage-related bonds.
Next week brings us the release of several important reports including two key inflation readings and an extremely important measurement of consumer spending. None of the relevant reports are scheduled for release Monday, so I am expecting stock prices to heavily influence bond trading and mortgage rates until we get to the week's data. Look for more details on next week's events in Sunday's weekly preview.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Friday's bond market has opened in positive territory despite stronger than expected economic news. The stock markets are showing minor losses with the Dow down 10 points and the Nasdaq down 1 point. The bond market is currently up 17/32, which should improve this morning's mortgage rates by approximately .250 of a discount point.
The University of Michigan posted their Index of Consumer Sentiment late this morning, announcing a reading of 70.2. This was a sizable increase from August's final reading and higher than what analysts had expected. This means that consumers are more optimistic about their own financial situations than many had thought. That can be considered bad news for bonds and mortgage rates because it hints that consumers are more apt to make large purchases in the near future. However, it appears the data is of no concern to traders this morning.
This morning's bond gains can partly be attributed to a good auction yesterday o f 30-year Bonds. The results of the sale indicate that investors still have an appetite for U.S. securities. This has helped boost long-term securities such as mortgage-related bonds.
Next week brings us the release of several important reports including two key inflation readings and an extremely important measurement of consumer spending. None of the relevant reports are scheduled for release Monday, so I am expecting stock prices to heavily influence bond trading and mortgage rates until we get to the week's data. Look for more details on next week's events in Sunday's weekly preview.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Rob Alley, Realtor at Keller Williams Charlottesville
540-250-3275 (cell)
roballeyrealtor@gmail.com
http://www.robsellscharlottesville.com
http://www.forestlakesliving.com
http://www.charlottesvillevarealestate.blogspot.com
http://www.charlottesvilleshortsale.com
http://www.theaverygroup.com
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Alert To Lock
Mortgage bonds down 41 and falling fast. Recommend locking the interest rate before lenders re-price.
Leonard Winslow, Dominion Trust Mortgage
434-760-2580 (cell)
leonard.winslow@dominiontrustmortgage.com
Leonard Winslow, Dominion Trust Mortgage
434-760-2580 (cell)
leonard.winslow@dominiontrustmortgage.com
Alert To Lock
Mortgage bonds down 41 and falling fast. Recommend locking the interest rate before lenders re-price.
Leonard Winslow, Dominion Trust Mortgage
434-760-2580 (cell)
leonard.winslow@dominiontrustmortgage.com
Leonard Winslow, Dominion Trust Mortgage
434-760-2580 (cell)
leonard.winslow@dominiontrustmortgage.com
Mortgage Bond Comment
Bonds are attempting to hold on to their gains this morning in advance of two big events coming up this afternoon. At 1 o'clock Eastern Time, the results of the $23 Billion auction of 10-year Notes will be released. Then at 2:15, the Fed will issue its Policy Statement after its two-day Fed Meeting.
The news from the Fed will be both multi-faceted and potentially market moving. Any hints of inflation and hikes could cause the market to swing in one direction. However, news of Bond purchases could cause an opposite reaction.
I recommend floating as of now, but be prepared to change course if the action heats up this afternoon."
Leonard Winslow, Branch Manager, Dominion Trust Mortgage
434-760-2580 (cell)
leonard.winslow@dominiontrustmortgage.com
www.dominiontrustmortgage.com/leonard.winslow
Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission. License #: MC-5112.
The news from the Fed will be both multi-faceted and potentially market moving. Any hints of inflation and hikes could cause the market to swing in one direction. However, news of Bond purchases could cause an opposite reaction.
I recommend floating as of now, but be prepared to change course if the action heats up this afternoon."
Leonard Winslow, Branch Manager, Dominion Trust Mortgage
434-760-2580 (cell)
leonard.winslow@dominiontrustmortgage.com
www.dominiontrustmortgage.com/leonard.winslow
Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission. License #: MC-5112.
Mortgage Bond Comment
Bonds are attempting to hold on to their gains this morning in advance of two big events coming up this afternoon. At 1 o'clock Eastern Time, the results of the $23 Billion auction of 10-year Notes will be released. Then at 2:15, the Fed will issue its Policy Statement after its two-day Fed Meeting.
The news from the Fed will be both multi-faceted and potentially market moving. Any hints of inflation and hikes could cause the market to swing in one direction. However, news of Bond purchases could cause an opposite reaction.
I recommend floating as of now, but be prepared to change course if the action heats up this afternoon."
Leonard Winslow, Branch Manager, Dominion Trust Mortgage
434-760-2580 (cell)
leonard.winslow@dominiontrustmortgage.com
www.dominiontrustmortgage.com/leonard.winslow
Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission. License #: MC-5112.
The news from the Fed will be both multi-faceted and potentially market moving. Any hints of inflation and hikes could cause the market to swing in one direction. However, news of Bond purchases could cause an opposite reaction.
I recommend floating as of now, but be prepared to change course if the action heats up this afternoon."
Leonard Winslow, Branch Manager, Dominion Trust Mortgage
434-760-2580 (cell)
leonard.winslow@dominiontrustmortgage.com
www.dominiontrustmortgage.com/leonard.winslow
Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission. License #: MC-5112.
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